The Political Future – National

National, through Steven Joyce’s strategic stupidity, have created an electoral environment that will make it very, very difficult for them to win power. Joyce choosing to protect his own power in 2011 means that 2014 onwards will be very, very difficult for National.

The saving grace for National is as the country works out that it has huge unfunded superannuation liabilities it will be forced to look at who can reduce the deficit the quickest, or who can save the most to put aside to fund entitlements for the old. Newer members of National’s caucus grew up admiring Roger Douglas and the changes he bought to New Zealand, releasing its potential through allowing the market to play a more important role.

National MPs currently in the house and likely to be around in 10 years time are fiscally a lot more conservative than the current group of wets, and ideologically driven more than poll driven. They will have credible, cogent solutions to the major problem of how we fund the state sector, especially if the next government is a weak Labour/ Greens one, where the Greens hare-brained schemes matched with a small Labour caucus over spend and alienate the population.

Leadership will be crucial. Ten years out it is hard to predict who will be leader, as they may not yet be in parliament. In a future post I will cover off potential leaders. Needless to say though the current lot who have their enforcers whisper idle threats into the ears of people who will outlive them politically by a considerable margin isn’t really doing anything to help. Threats of harming your career prospects in the future are only valid if you are going to be there int he future to deliver on those threats. List MPs only have an average political life expectancy of 6 years and so they can safely be ignored.

True leader design career paths for their MPs, and identify logical successors and nurture and mentor them.


Do you want:

  • Ad-free access?
  • Access to our very popular daily crossword?
  • Access to daily sudoku?
  • Access to Incite Politics magazine articles?
  • Access to podcasts?
  • Access to political polls?

Our subscribers’ financial support is the reason why we have been able to offer our latest service; Audio blogs. 

Click Here  to support us and watch the number of services grow.

As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.

0%