National’s Strategic Stupidity, Ctd

Farrar shows the numbers of MPs based on the latest Roy Morgan Poll.

The latest Roy Morgan poll  is sober news for National. They are still 8% ahead of Labour, but 5.5% behind Labour and Greens combined. On this poll the seats would be:

  • National 51
  • Labour 41
  • Greens 17
  • NZF 8
  • Maori 3
  • United 1
  • Mana 1

This was entirely predictable and was why National’s opponents, the Greens and the Union movement, opposed a change to the electoral system. Steven Joyce refused to do anything about it, so he has created a situation where National no longer much chance of being in government.

You need 62 seats to govern, so either Lab/Gre/NZF or Nat/NZF/Maori. United Future and Mana might be there but wouldn’t make the difference.

Farrar’s scenario for a National government is to do a dodgy deal with Winston. That may preserve John Key and Steven Joyce’s power but last time National did a deal with Winston they ended up in opposition for 9 years.


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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.

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