No warming since 1997

New evidence, quietly released by the UK Met Office, suggests that there has been no discernible warming since 1997:

The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released last week.

The figures, which have triggered debate among climate scientists, reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures.

This means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. Before that, temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years.

The new data, compiled from more than 3,000 measuring points on land and sea, was issued  quietly on the internet, without any media fanfare, and, until today, it has not been reported.

This stands in sharp contrast  to the release of the previous  figures six months ago, which went only to the end of 2010 – a very warm year.

Ending the data then means it is possible to show a slight warming trend since 1997, but 2011 and the first eight months of 2012 were much cooler, and thus this trend is erased.

I have always suspected this would be the case. and yet it is me and people like me who are called deniers…well the denier label is about to lifted from us and placed firmly onto the warmists.

Here are three not-so trivial questions you probably won’t find in your next pub quiz. First, how much warmer has the world become since a) 1880 and  b) the beginning of 1997? And what has this got to do with your ever-increasing energy bill?

You may find the answers to the first two surprising. Since 1880, when reliable temperature records began to be kept across most of the globe, the world has warmed by about 0.75 degrees Celsius.

From the start of 1997 until August 2012, however, figures released last week show the answer is zero: the trend, derived from the aggregate data collected from more than 3,000 worldwide measuring points, has been flat.

Not that there has been any  coverage in the media, which usually reports climate issues assiduously, since the figures were quietly release online with no accompanying press release – unlike six months ago when they showed a slight warming trend.

The answer to the third question is perhaps the most familiar. Your bills are going up, at least in part, because of the array of ‘green’ subsidies being provided to the renewable energy industry, chiefly wind.

They will cost the average household about £100 this year. This is set to rise steadily higher – yet it  is being imposed for only one  reason: the widespread conviction, which is shared by politicians of all stripes and drilled into children at primary schools, that, without drastic action to reduce carbon-dioxide emissions, global warming is certain soon to accelerate, with truly catastrophic consequences by the end of the century – when temperatures could be up to five degrees higher.

Hence the significance of those first two answers. Global industrialisation over the past 130 years has made relatively little difference.

Can we have all our taxes back please?


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  • Pete is neat

    “Can we have all our taxes back please?”

    U mad? Wait for the peer reviews son.

  • symgardiner

    That’s a bit awkward for a lot of troughers.

  • johnboy

    Al’s here to correct any deviation from the party line!

  • HoseDocKen

    hmmmmmm, can I hear the child starting to shout….THE EMPEROR HAS NO CLOTHES????? & if it is are the people listening?????

  • Vlad

    Maybe we can get back the $45 million we are spending on trying to work out how to stop cows farting. Never ceases to amaze me that NZ is caught up in this scam not because of billowing industrial smoke stacks, but because we are supplying the world with the most efficiently produced milk on the planet. And that causes 49% of our “liability.”

  • sheppy

    Yep with “The cheapest seat cost $804” I’d expect he was very keen on keeping the very lucrative bandwagon rolling….

  • Jaffa

    Any increase in temperature might have something to do with the bitumen and concrete, increased cars, heating and air conditioning since records began.
    Records began with grass runways, few cars, etc.

  • Patrick

    Anthropological causes being the main contributor of “global warming” are & have always been a crock of sh1t. When will people wake up to the Al Gore’s, Wussel Norman’s etc of this world. The Green movement world wide is stacked to the rafters with rebadged communisits. Take a look at them & their solutions to combat so called climate change. All they want to do is extract more of your money from your wallet. Outfits like Greenpeace are a business, yes they are a capitalst corporation run for profit, paying huge salaries to their top employees & exploiting the well meaning & well intentioned grass root supporters. They may hide behind charity status all over the world but they are far from a charity. Much like the religious organisations such as Destiny Church (& the Catholics et al) they are after your money. Every natural disaster is heaven sent to their bank balance.

    • Marc Williams

      Also, have the biggest carbon footprint of us all with their constant flying around the world calling wolf. Hypocrites the lot of them, especially Gareth Hughes and “Warrior Woman”.

      • patriot

        Al Gore & United Nations IPCC are talking fear but not backing up the claim of ” settled science ” with details — There is no such thing as manmade global warming that alters the climate by greenhouse gas .

        For example — how much Co2 causes a flood and how much Co2 causes a hurricane — the global warming theory is total unproven crap .

        Refund our taxes on carbon and sack the climate scientists who cannot predict the next flood in Coatesville or Carterton or even give us the Co2 ppm for today or next month in Warkworth. NIWA are crap .

  • Euan.Rt

    warming causes evaporation, evaporation causes clouds, clouds reflect the sun away, the ground cools, less evaporation, less clouds, more sun ground warms….. What a surprise that cooling happens after warming.

  • conwaycaptain

    They are now going back to the log books of RN warships back to the 18th century. The wind direction, speed and temp (wet and dry bulb) and se temp were logged along with ships posn. When I was at sea we sent in wx reports 6 hrly with posn, temps, se temps, cloud cover, swell ertc etc to the NZ met office or Aus met office and to the respective weather beaureau in other places in the world. These logs are returned when full to the home office who then collates them and send them to the World Met Office. Therefore they have met data worlwide for many many years. The obs are taken at 0001, 0600, 1200,1800 GMT.

    • Pokerface

      Bless you, CC for your attention to detail, and amazing memory. And bless you, WO for raising these issues.

  • cows4me

    What I can’t understand are where are our fucktards that are so convinced the world is in meltdown? Where’s Key and his idiot mate Smith, very quite the a holes. Scumbags, they set out to steal wealth from hard working kiwis and refuse to even consider differing arguments because the whole system was corrupt to start with. Their arguments are a crock of shit, they know it we know it but they believe the more they can extract from their citizens in tax is the path to power and social stability. They are fools of the highest order, they will be ultimately the makers of their own destruction, greedy bastards.

  • Mediaan

    They should have left the denier word back on nylon stockings. It was glamorous to wear very low-denier stockings, like 8 denier. The school matron was reputed to wear 45 denier.
    Mind you, that was never proven either.

  • There’s no link from the mail online but I believe they are referring to the HADCRUT4 dataset available for anyone to download here
    Graphing the monthly data for 1997-2012 seems to match Mail Online’s graph except for an interesting detail.
    The Mail online choose to start their graph with the September 1997 figure ie. only including the last 4 months of 1997.
    See my graph from the data to see why they may have chosen to do this.