First poll of New Year, rush on BBQs in Labour areas

The first Roy Morgan poll is out for the year and David Shearer is not off to a good start. February caucus vote is looming large and there are still a few weekends for some good solid lobbying around the BBQ.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows steady support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party at 46% (up 0.5% since mid December 2012). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 2% (up 0.5%), ACT NZ 0.5% (down 0.5%) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).

Support for Labour is 31.5% (down 2%); Greens are 12% (up 1%), New Zealand First 5% (unchanged), Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 1.5% (up 0.5%) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).

If a National Election were held today this NZ Roy Morgan Poll says the result would be too close to call.

Jan 2013 Roy Morgan Poll


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  • thor42

    Pretty much “steady as she goes” really.

    • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

      Yes I agree with thor42. As I have been repeatedly saying, 2014 is all about whether Winnie the Poo can make it over 5%. If he does, Emperor is toast. If not Emperor will rule for another 3 years for sure. Simple as that folks.

      • Patrick

        Look for Winny to rark up the Treaty issues – that will get him his 5% no sweat as any right minded voter will have the shits with Key when they find out what is being hatched, Labour are just as bad & so are the Greens so all that is left is Winny & his usual capers

  • Gazzaw

    Labour would maybe have hoped for better given the shit that they & the unions have stirred over the holiday break with Education/Novopay that has largely gone unanswered.

  • JC

    Interesting.. to me National and the Greens “shape” since the last election look similar with a rise and slow fall.. Labour’s shape looks (slightly) better under Shearer. I’d rate all three parties as “well positioned” at this stage.


  • Elizabeth Bourchier

    The ABC team have failed repeatedly. Trevor and mates are failures.
    They said that backing Shearer and the “middle way” would lead to a rise in the polls. It didn’t.
    Trevor & his approach failed, even though Parata was a gift from heaven to anyone with an ounce of political skill.
    Those members who voted for a membership say in the running of the party were right to see the ABCs as yesterday’s men (and Annette and Jacinda and Darian).
    The Cunliffe advocates are right to want a change in direction.
    The game played under Goff and Shearer has not worked. Those who backed that faction should think a bit smarter…fast.
    Those who resisted the bullying of Shearer’s manipulator’s will re-shape the Labour part into one that can win in 2014 and reform the Economy.

  • Edwin Wigmore

    This is good. National had always wanted to put their most unpopular policies through in 2012 so they could be out of the way and not a focus during 2013 onwards. The economy seems to be starting out the year in good shape, so hopefully they can start the fight back this year.