National at 51.4% in 3 News-Reid Research poll


TV3 News reports

The latest 3 News-Reid Research poll shows Prime Minister John Key has bounced back and, if an election was held today, National could govern alone.

The last poll showed Labour Party leader David Shearer and the left could govern, but Mr Key has seized back the voters he lost as last year went to the pack for him.

National is on 51.4 percent – that’s up 4 percent. That’s come off Labour, down two to 32.6 percent. And the Greens are also down two points as well, to 10.8 percent. New Zealand First Party leader Winston Peters is on about 3.4 percent.

When is National going to spend some of this political capital to drive through some change before it is too late?  

It may be doing well in the polls, as nobody in their right mind could possibly see an alternative worth voting for, but it’s high time National does something to get this country properly on track. They should especially be bashing the unions.

National has to be very careful to interpret 51.4% as genuine support.

Instead, it will have at least 10% representing people who will vote for Labour if it looks anywhere off life support.

Shearer meanwhile is due for his re-shuffle but it is too little too late, he looks weak and ineffectual.

Voters are clearly enamoured with Key’s re-shuffle ruthlessness and voting with their feet over the stumbling, bumbling, stuttering leadership of David Shearer.


Please support Whaleoil.
Click Here
to subscribe to an ad-free Whaleoil.

Be part of making sure Whaleoil's voice continues.

  • thor42

    Very good to see this!

    • Meg

      Enjoy it while it lasts. Which will not be long.

      • Gazzaw

        Your sources please Meg. Another wishful Standard prediction?

        • Meg

          Gosh you right wingers do not like the truth do you.

          • Gazzaw

            I asked you a simple question Meg – you said ‘make the most of it, it won’t last’. Why won’t it last? Tell us why. Give us something more than empty rhetoric about not liking the truth. That’s not an answer.

        • Troy

          Meg is always fartwind and bluster – she resorts to blunderous comments as she has no evidence to support her conclusions.

      • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

        I am wondering if this poll showed even a 1% increase for Sheep and his lunatic Greens, people like you will be writing obituaries for John Key. All the dirt throwing didn’t stick eh? Why don’t you left lunatics come up with some more creative tax and spend ideas? What about a carbon tax to save the world?

      • Cadwallader


      • Did you note Meg that polling for this poll continued AFTER the A-G’s Sky City report was released? Labour and the Greens’ opposition to up to 1000 new jobs will hurt them hugely.

    • This poll obviously reflects the thoughts of the nation, those blessed with having thoughts that is, average non partisan voters can see that the government is motivated to improving NZ’s lot as a whole, this is especially recognised when all that the opposition can come back with are empty promises & pointless personality assasination.

  • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

    Damn, my inside sources have done their sums wrong. I understand Sheep is dejected and is having discussions with his potential coalition partners – Norman, Poo and Hone. They are assuring him that this is a rouge poll and he should wait for Roy Morgan poll which is due out this week….Sheep says there are positive signs for the lunatic left in this poll. Sheep will be announcing a free dental care scheme for all next week, which will be a vote winner.

    • Cadwallader

      A “rouge” poll? A red one?

      • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

        Sheep’s sources are now relying on the next Roy Morgan poll….

  • Gazzaw

    NZFP below even the suggested threshold of 4% – that’s very encouraging.

    The result should wipe some of the smugness off Campbell’s face tomorrow night.

    • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

      Campbell will side step this issue completely…..

      • Gazzaw

        Still take the smile off his face though SC

  • Phar Lap

    Proves that when Fairfax did their poll last week it seemed that it was very rushed,and didnt ring true.W

    • Phar Lap

      It looked like it was generated inhouse to sell the DomPost.When i saw it was being reported on by the shemale Tracy Watkins,it lost its credibility.

    • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

      Wait for uncle Matt McCarten to spin something off his backside that Fairfax poll is the real poll…..

      • Troy

        Matt will spin anything to get his name in the media… that’s what he does, but of course most of the time its BS.

      • Mr_V4

        Lets hope he manages to spin up his tax return at the same time.

    • Today the Fairfax poll is reporting people think they were better off in 2003 than now. I think of all the things that have changed since then and apart from Clark/Cullen fiscal irresposibility I can’t think of anything that I would rather go back to.

  • StupidDiscus

    They should especially be bashing the unions.

    no need to “bash” unions. Just outlaw them. no need to “bash” bludgers – just stop the benefits.
    no need to whinge about Parata – just privatize the schools.

    • Meg

      That is amazingly silly.

      • Positan

        Meg, if you can’t make intelligent response or even amplify your assertions so that the average intelligent, thinking individual can attempt to follow your vacuous line of thought, then I for one would greatly appreciate a substantial reduction of your transparently sub-intelligent remarks. I’m certain that while vacuity is the mainstay of Labour-oriented blogs, it’s not at all appreciated in this one. Go read a comic or something.

    • Mostly_Harmless

      No need to outlaw unions – just take away the legislation that makes them viable.

      • StupidDiscus

        Yeah – I guess you could make all members of an industrial conspiracy liable for all costs they impose on businesses — but no doubt the left will howl that you’re banning ’em anyway.

        And look on the bright site – once you’ve banned ’em you can confiscate their “war chests” – $50 Million will buy you quite a few more charter schools.

        But anything less than that won’t get the job done.

  • Pete George

    “Shearer meanwhile is due for his re-shuffle”

    Tomorrow apparently.

    • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

      The whole world is waiting eagerly to see his talented shadow cabinet….

      • Gazzaw

        Hmmm. A requirement to be talented could cut down the shortlist a bit SCS.

        • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

          My sources say Shane Jones will be promoted as Maori Affairs Spokesperson by Sheep and even Curryleaf will get a portfolio it seems. Sheep is going to follow Comrade Clark’s policy of keeping enemies closer.

          • Gazzaw

            Shearer won’t survive unless he accommodates those ten abstainers. He will be playing a dangerous game but he has no choice. Just like peeling an onion, all he will do is expose a new layer of flakes whose prime concern is to protect their sorry arses at the next election.

          • Mr_V4

            My Dulux colour chart suggests Shane Jones is not “brown” enough.

            You’ve got be at least “Mt Maunganui” to make Maori Affairs, unfortunately he is more “Marsden Point”


      • Mr_V4

        So full of talent it will be hiding in the shadows.

    • Liberty

      Shearer is going to have to eat a rat and bring back Cunliff.
      But he hasn’t got the balls. So all he has got is a pack of has-beens.
      Labour is doomed . How sad never mind.

  • Patrick

    Who is the little twerp right of the picture? Looks like he should be back in school

  • toby_toby

    Meanwhile, the Horrid is so inept that they can’t even repeat accurately, saying that National in fact has 54.4%. If you add up all the figures the Horrid gives, it’s more than 100%.

  • Cadwallader

    2 or 3 similar results to this must surely spell the end of Shearer (or better yet, Labour?)

    • StupidDiscus

      Have to wipe out all the unions, all the bureaucracy, the state schools & hospitals houses & GPs & WFF & student loans … before there will be a constituency that won’t vote Labour

      Or of course you could return NZ’s government to the way it was originally designed – when bludgers didn’t get a vote