The latest Fairfax-Ipsos poll has been released and Grant Robertson will be licking his chops.
Labour has taken a big hit in the latest Fairfax-Ipsos poll, raising fresh questions about whether David Shearer can lead them to victory.
Halfway through its second term, Prime Minister John Key’s National is riding high on 49.1 per cent support, up 4.5 percentage points since February, and would be able to govern alone.
Over the same period Labour had shed 4.4 per cent to 31.9 per cent, with respondents pointing to Mr Shearer as weak and negative, Ipsos pollster Duncan Stuart said.
It marks a sharp reversal from our February poll when the Left and Right were neck and neck.
The survey, taken in the days after the May 16 Budget, suggests an improving economic mood has lifted National’s poll ratings.
Tracy Watkins is scathing, the caption under the photo says it all, “Mr Shearer may be morphing from Mr Invisible to something worse in voters’ eyes, Mr Negative.”
How long before Labour asks whether David Shearer is the solution or the problem? If the results of today’s Fairfax Media-Ipsos poll are a precursor to the next election, the news is all bad for Labour – and not just because the poll has it shedding support, though that is bad enough.
But because it reverses a trend that had Labour slowly clawing into contention.
What changed? To lean on a cliche, the economy, stupid.
The poll shows a sudden surge in people who think the country is on the right track – a combination of the wealth effect of a rise in house prices, particularly in Auckland, a drop in the number of jobless, better growth figures and a feeling that there is light at the end of the tunnel for the economy.
There are plenty of niggles with the Government but they are just that – niggles.
None has taken on the tsunami-like proportions of the nanny state backlash that swept Labour out of office.