Will Key call a snap election?


via tangatawhenua.com

via tangatawhenua.com

NBR calls it like it sees it

There is another option available to Mr Key if Mr Dunne throws in the towel, because right now he would have his best chance of winning a snap election and governing on his own.

Simply put, while Mr Key is still able to raise $250,000 from a single dinner and auction, Labour has no money.  So broke has it become, it would need to use much of its broadcasting allocation money on production whereas National could put every dollar into purchasing advertising slots.

Labour has little if no money for pamphlet drops let alone direct mail.

In terms of the content of its election messaging, Labour is currently uncompetitive in funding market research.

Its leader, David Shearer, would be annihilated not just by Mr Key in the formal election debates but by the press pack every day.

Labour would probably need to decline to put their man up against Mr Key.  After all, election debates are not compulsory in New Zealand and only happen because both sides perceive some advantage.

A way would also need to be found to shield from Mr Shearer from unscripted media questioning.

Were this not bad enough, Labour’s political positioning compared with National is currently awful.

My Labour sources confirm just how broken-arsed they are. There was some détente with business until they launched their power policy, after that donor discussions ceased.
They are so broke that internal polling is dropping away but indications from sources are that the latest internal polling shows Labours result has a two at the front of it.
Labour are privately praying that Dunne holds on as an mp so they don’t have to fight a full scale election

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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.