Labour’s new direction – 43 days to go


The 3News/Reid Research poll last night delivered a blunt message to the labour party caucus as they head into their retreat in Napier this morning.

The Labour Party’s internal troubles have seen it drop again in the latest 3 News/Reid Research poll, with Prime Minister John Key and National clear winners and able to govern alone.

Labour’s so-called “man-ban” got leader David Shearer plenty of attention, for all the wrong reasons.

And it’s got Labour going the wrong way on this poll – down, a drop of 2.1 percent.

“It’s a wake up call for us,” says Mr Shearer. “People want us to be focussed on them and not on Labour Party internal matters.”

“The Labour Party is focussed on the Labour Party and National is focussed on the country,” says Mr Key.

There have been questions about Mr Shearer’s leadership. One Labour MP told 3 News Mr Shearer has until spring, two months, to improve the polls or he could be gone by the end of year.  

Both the Roy Morgan poll and now the 3News poll have delivered broadly similar results. Despite all the beltway attacks on John Key and National they remain high in the polls and at the same time Labour is sliding away into the twenties.

Labour MPs will start counting heads soon as the polling numbers approach 30 and slide lower. Every percentage point cost them seats. Some of them won’t be coming back after next years election and the caucus will be much, much smaller.

Do they follow the lead of the Labor party in Australia and knife their leader and set about having a very public spill because of their new rules? Or do they suck it up in the hope that David Shearer will get some cut through?

I’m not sure anyone in caucus has the courage to ask David Shearer to fall on his sword, and they certainly lack the courage to try and run him through. Because they are still in the 30s David Shearer may still be safe, but only just.


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  • Shoreboy57

    Perfect result really. Caucus too scared to change and too scared not to change. The stagnation party

    • johnbronkhorst

      “The stagnation party”…To misquote Rowan Atkinson…”Turning bright green and beginning to smell”

    • Chris

      That’s very good. I hope it sticks. Has a ring to it.

  • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

    Shearer is on track bro. Don’t you worry about that. He will ride on the vagaries of MMP and with the smelling hippies and power hungry Poo and Horny Hone will form the government in 2014. If you see the poll, Labour is still high compared to election night and this time Maori party could decide to go with Labour to satisfy their ungrateful followers. National has done more to Maori than the sweet talking Labourers.

    • Bad__Cat

      I just hope Labour don’t peak too soon; the election is not for another year!

    • Hazards001

      Dead right. The abominable coalition of Winne the pisshead,Hone the hater, Shearer the dithering irrelevant, the aussie reject and the McGillicuddy Serious Party no hoper are in with a good chance of gaining the treasury benches.

      If there is a possibility things are still a bit tight the perennial fence sitter and professional politician Dunne could always be offered the baubles of power if no one credible is put up against him this time by the Nats.
      The Maori Party make no secret that they will do what keeps them in the trough…errrr…that they will do what is best for their people.

      2014 is by no means a Dunne deal for Key and Co.