#Chanban was a circuit breaker…for the Greens

Labour has pinned its hopes for resurrection on two flagship policies. Both policies were touted as a circuit breaker and it looks like Labour was right, they have turned out to be a circuit breaker for the Greens.

This is the danger of sharing a platform to launch a policy like they did with NZ Power or shamelessly stealing a policy like they did with the ban on foreigners.

A political poll has failed to show the boost Labour was hoping for from its plan to prevent foreigners buying homes in New Zealand, although the policy does appear to have arrested the party’s fall.

Labour has held steady at 33 per cent in the latest One News Colmar Brunton poll, after dropping several points in the Herald-DigiPoll, 3News Reid Research, and Roy Morgan polls in the past few weeks. About three-quarters of the 1000 respondents were polled after Labour announced its new housing policy two Sundays ago. 

The Green Party was the big winner, lifting from 9 per cent to 14. After several weeks of debate and protest over the GCSB Bill, National fell to 46 per cent – down three points since the May poll.

Voters look at David Shearer and se someone who doesn’t really resonate, he is also delivering the policies that seem to come from the Greens and so former Labour supporting voters are gravitating to the Greens.

There is another problem now though. One which could cause a bit of a problem for David Shearer.

With Labour on 33% and the Greens getting close to 15% it is roughly a two thirds/one third split and that is likely to see the Greens push for a similar split in cabinet. David Shearer and Russel Norman are going to have to start nominating who is likely to be a minister and that is where voters will balk.

Labour cannot be happy with a static poll result, while Russel Norman’s power continues to grow.

By the time the next polls roll around the GCSB bill will be passed, people will have forgotten Labour’s policy launches and people’s perceived anger will have dissipated. The beltway issue of Andrea Vances emails won;t affect the government at all, most people think journalists are bottom-feeding scum and simply on;t care despite the outrage. The media will find it very difficult to keep cultivating that outrage without looking more petulant than they already do.

 


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  • conwaycaptain

    Rusel, Matira T, The Child MP, Mojo etc in Cabinet??? I tremble in fear

    • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

      Keep trembling bro. Minto Minto and Piggy Sue are also coming…..

  • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

    More bad news for uncle Key…..Sheep is winning on every count now….A stuff poll is showing almost 71% think Key is handling GCSB affair very badly….this has now become a Nationwide issue affecting everybody’s life….

  • Josh Metcalfe

    I could grit my teeth and bear 3 years of nonsense if they managed to crawl over the line. But if they let that nutter Norman near the treasury books, the protests will be worse than against Rogernomics.

    • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

      Nine years of Labour-Green rule assured for sure

      • Col

        Stop saying things like that all the good people may leave the country, which leaves us with, who pays the unemployed? hold on they will have gardens to grown there own Pot, right?

        • Dave

          We already left Col :) love NZ and whilst I think its developing really really well fiscally, its vulnerable to natural disasters, and then more vulnerable to the LABOUR/GREEN epidemic, and a horrible dependent attitude, its a risk we couldn’t take.

          If we could have been guaranteed a National government for say 2 more terms, and a halt to the BrownMail, then we most likely would have stayed.

          Labour almost destroyed NZ under H Kelly, never again please.

          EDIT: PS: Dont think of us as a loss to the country, its the thousands of other educated, positive kiwis leaving and taking their funds and skills with them.

          • GazzW

            Good luck with another four years of labor under Krudd and a 15 billion deficit Dave. I’ll take my chances on a JK victory.

          • Dave

            krudd is unlikely to get back in but i moved when Gillard was Aust Queen which just goes to prove, anything can happen in politics.

            Still a better prospect here, at least they can mine all those minerals and oil/gas/coal etc, and the chances of a LNP govt are very high. Howard came to power in similar circumstances, so fingers crossed. Big bonus here, NO brown mail, peaceful, less thuggery out of Sydney.

            Then, the climate benefits, high of 28 deg here today, might have a swim!!

          • Bunswalla

            “peaceful, less thuggery out of Sydney.”

            Keep away from the south, the south-west, the inner west and the west of Sydney then. Northern beaches and lower north shore are your best bet, not quite so many shootings there in recent times.

          • Dave

            Buns, I have lived in Sydney since the early 90’s, moved back to Aoteroa for a few years, but ultimately, its safer in Sydney, just got to stay off the trains after midnight, get taxis instead of walking home, oh and stay out of any “ethnic” areas such as Bankstown, lakemba etc. Didnt live on the shore, but the Sutho Shire, especially Cronulla is fantastic (with the exception of the one day race riots), now in QLD, its wonderful.

          • IWantToBeLikeMallardOneDay

            39 here. A swim is mandatory, and so many Chinese people can’t swim, so the pool in practically empty!

          • Col

            Lucky bugger, when I am the only one standing can you send me some cash as there won’t be any left if those fucker ever get in. Cheers hope your doing well, enjoy.

          • IWantToBeLikeMallardOneDay

            When I was there I was treated like shit because I did three times more work than everyone else in the office and the other workers found out. I worked so many jobs and was treated like a bag of shit because I could do maths quickly and I knew how to spell better than the silly old coots who inherited their status as “bossman” and subsequently had to play up to the Islanders and Maoris to maintain their stature as some kind of wise big chief ooga booga (a great challenge for them when I could easily cut them down for the nonsense they’d espouse). It was great what the recession did to them considering they only got where they were because of the overheated consumerism of the final Clark years. I have more personal freedom and economic opportunity in China and the people here appreciate ability. I wouldn’t even risk going back unless there was a bomb dropped on three rugby league crowds, a William Bell walked into at least five WINZes, and all those vulgar, property speculating baby-boomers finally retired or carked it ;-p

        • FredFrog

          Col, in the unlikely event of a GreeBore election victory, there will be a mass exodus of the educated workforce in the first few months. As the bludger burden falls more an more on those lower down in the workforce, they’ll also get pissed off and leave in a secondary wave.

          Downside – GreeBore bludger state dictatorship for ever and ever
          Upside – They’ll have to pay for it themselves.

      • AnonWgtn

        No – with a majority they can change constitutional law to put themselves into a Mugabe position – for life.

        • le sphincter

          Silly man. You can only change the constitution with a majority in parliament -both houses- plus it passes a citizens referendum in a majority of the states.

  • Mickrodge

    Nearly 1 in 8 voters want to throw their lot in with the watermelons. Jesus fucking wept!!

    I respect everyone’s right to vote for whom they wish but geez there must be some dumb people out there.

    • Col

      Yes there is many, one who really stands out is that turnip Polish Pride who puts crap on W/O, but we do have freedom of speech, so we enjoy his crap.

      • Bunswalla

        Speak for yourself Col, though I admit the complete predictability of his comments, and timing, is somewhat amusing.

    • IWantToBeLikeMallardOneDay

      You don’t know the half of it. The scary thing is that if you go into a politics class at university, they all vote for Labour and the Greens. The are supposedly the elite, but of course we know they’re actually not.
      Says it all about modern education.

      • FredFrog

        Politics class at uni is so not the elite. They’re the ones who couldn’t get into the courses that end with real degrees being granted.

  • redeye

    Greens haven’t announced a policy for some time now, am I right? So what does that say about left wing voters?

    • AnonWgtn

      They do not have to put anything realistically forward – they just continue to denigrate Key , supported by the media.
      The media are full Greenpeace supporters as has been more recently shown.
      Anti everything.

    • IWantToBeLikeMallardOneDay

      Fellow travelling useful idiots?

    • dyannt

      If they continue to keep their mouths shut, more on the left will vote for them. Where are the investigative journalists who should be asking the question of what they are actually planning to do.

    • Mickrodge

      Well as the saying goes…”If you’re not a Socialist at 20 you have no heart & If you’re not a Conservative at 30 you have no brain”.

  • Jimbob

    The problem is the “beltway issues” will turn the journalists even further to the left and a constant stream of crap from them pilloring the nats will take its toll….

  • Apolonia

    It shows again that National needs Coalition options in 2014.

    • GazzW

      Too late now Apolonia unless JK sells his soul to Winston. Even given that a year is a long time in politics it’s late in the game to look at new coalition partners when there are no realistic prospects out there. It’s all about going it alone now and once the Nats look to be likely prospects the MSM will switch sides like the whores that they are.

  • OT Richter

    I have noticed a real change in commie Norman’s demeanor – in interviews he now seems calm, considered and almost reasonable. Still spouting left wing tripe, but in a nicer way. Had some serious coaching me thinks.

    • GazzW

      Maybe his doc has given him a new scrip.

    • Whanga_Cynic

      Probably that nice Dr Edwards.

    • IWantToBeLikeMallardOneDay

      A spell in the sanatorium..?

  • spollyike

    What chance does NZ have? Seriously, even our so self proclaimed “right wing blogs” aka kiwiblog and whaleoil are just raving pinko’s pushing gay rights and progressive maori sovereignty friendly agenda.

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