No cut through for Labour, despite GCSB and Snapper

The latest Fairfax-Ipsos poll is out and there isn’t a skerrick of good news for David Shearer. NZ Power is a dead duck, Kiwi Build still born, both policies touted as circuit breakers and total polling failures for Labour.

With spring just around the corner and no impact in the polls despite endless headlines against the government, the Labour caucus is just going to have to face facts, David Shearer is tits and they are cowards for not doing anything about it.

David Shearer’s big punt on bold new policy has failed to fire, with the latest Fairfax Media-Ipsos political poll suggesting he is having no impact on voters.

The poll shows Labour continues to wallow in the doldrums on just 31.6 per cent, a five-point slide from the start of the year. In contrast, National has emerged all but unscathed from a difficult few months to poll at 48.3 per cent – down about one point from May, but up more than four on the start of the year. 

The Greens are on 12.3 per cent support, NZ First 2.8 per cent and the Conservatives 1.4 per cent, outpolling the other minor parties including ACT and United Future, despite being outside Parliament.

The result will plunge Mr Shearer’s leadership further into question, and suggests the divisions laid bare over Labour’s so-called “man ban” may have cancelled out any potential gains from bold new policy promises, including a ban on foreign speculators in an overheated housing market.

And he is not out of the woods yet – those divisions could resurface at the party’s annual conference later this year, when party rank and file are likely to debate female quotas again. A loss in the long-held Christchurch East seat in a by-election later this year could put Mr Shearer under further pressure.

Despite trying to bury the poll on the inside pages and putting Andrea Vance’s beat-up of supposed concern about the GCSB on the front page, I’d say David Shearer is toast.


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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.

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