The Owl Predictor – is Russel Norman next to be “Snap”pered?

The last Owl Predictor put Andrew Little at the top of the table for the next leader of the Labour. The next day few days Andrew Little pulled out of the race. Unintended consequences or coincidence?

The Owl says neither but the flurry of debate around who holds the key to the selection of the new leader has fallen squarely on the unions.

The Owl has looked at a few of main reasons why David Shearer resigned.

  1. Failed to lift Labour in the polls but actually he got them up 5% on average
  2. Failed to deliver strong portfolio policies
  3. Labour MP’s failed to land any significant blows against the government or more importantly when they did they were found out to be lacking in substance
  4. Divided party  

Observation by the Owl

Based on those four premises lets see how Russel Norman has compared

  1. Using the Curiablog polling which averages out all polls under Russel Norman the Greens average vote has fallen since the election to 11.1%.
  2. The Greens strategy of getting portfolio positions in a Labour/Green coalition has been a dismal failure. There has been no Deputy Prime Minister offer, no Finance Minister offer nor Environment Minister offer from the Labour Party in any coalition party talks.
  3. Where do we start – manufacturing crisis – yep, Quantitative Easing –yep complete 180 degree turn there. I could go on.
  4. Divided party – will that is one thing that the Greens under Russel Norman does not have but the Owl will say when you have 14 MP’s in parliament and you don’t get one single bill through and your best default policies is “call an inquiry” and “police complaints” basically the general public works out pretty quickly you are a run to the headmaster type party.

Now I am not expecting Russel Norman to pull out two snapper in the debating chambers because a) they can’t be dead if the Greens were to pull that stunt and b) I don’t think you are allowed fish tanks in the debating chamber but if you want compare the two performance then what I will ask: – “is Russell Norman only a scoop of chips away from being snappered”

The Owl Predicator says Russell Norman will not be replaced but questions of performance will be raised. When the next labour leader is selected the Greens Party vote will slide to 7-8% and there will be no Green electorate winners in 2014 elections. (NB there were none in the last election either)


Do you want ad-free access to our Daily Crossword?

Do you want access to daily Incite Politics Magazine articles?

Silver Subscriptions and above go in the draw to win a $500 prize to be drawn at the end of March

Not yet one of our awesome subscribers? Click Here and join us.

As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story.  And when he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet.   Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet, and as a result he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist that takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him.  But you can’t ignore him.

53%