Going to be a bloodbath

Kevin Rudd and the ALP are going to be slaughtered this weekend. Only the seriously deluded (like Rudd) are claiming the election will be close.

As I said last week, when the bookies throw you under the bus it is all over.

KEVIN Rudd is facing an election wipeout with a new poll showing Labor falling further behind the Coalition.

The Prime Minister is preparing to mount a flying campaign blitz across the nation as a Galaxy Poll predicts he will lose the September 7 election in a 53:47 result.

As the Prime Minister finalises plans to announce a $10,000 tax break for small business at his Brisbane campaign launch today, campaign chiefs also fear the swings could be bigger in key marginal seats.

The national Galaxy poll published in today’s Sunday Herald Sun confirms Mr Rudd’s numbers have gone backwards since the election was called, with Labor’s primary vote falling to 35 per cent. 

On a two party preferred basis the Coalition is on track for a 53:47 result and a 3 per cent national swing since the 2010 election.

Asked who will win the election, a clear majority of voters – 63 per cent – have predicted Tony Abbott will emerge as Australia’s next Prime Minister.

But it could be worse for Labor in key marginal seats, any substantial swing could result in a massive Coalition win.

An exclusive analysis of Galaxy polls during the campaign suggests swings of 4 per cent to the Liberals in the marginals polled, delivering a likely majority of up to 90 seats in the 150 seat Parliament.


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  • I’m just back from a weekend in Melbourne. People just can’t wait for next Saturday, so that they can give Rudd and his Labor mates the big DCM. It’s going to be a train-wreck on Saturday night for the ALP.

    • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

      If you are day dreaming that similar thing could happen here in NZ in 2014. just forget it. Curryleaf led Labour and Hippie led Greens will be the big winners.

      • cows4me

        Big weekend again Sir? Still hung over I see.

        • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

          My internal polling has Labour crossing 45% comfortably with Greens touching 15%……

          • richard.b

            I would watch that internal polling, you might get something stuck.

          • Simo

            Could get a touch of gastroenteritis with that internal polling SCS. The Greenies do like dodgy tucker!

          • Patrick

            Is that single digit internal polling or multiple?

          • Ratchet

            Internal polling? Are they the numbers you pull out of your arse?

          • jcpry

            No he’s just polling many of his personalities.

          • LesleyNZ

            Inner turmoil?

      • Col

        That will be a bottle of whisky you will need to buy me when they lose, 69 seats to Nats, labour torn apart by infighting that will be the lead up to the election and Labour will be in tatters.

        • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

          Chippie has promised to unite the Labour party under Curryleaf…Horse woman is also excited about the new direction the party is taking….Aunty King is walking with a spring in her steps and Furious Fill Gap is ready to take on the nasty National with new vigour…the Labourers are so excited they don’t know where to start now.

          • Col

            Good comment, love the bit when you say they “don’t know where to start now”

          • Chippy will get punted out to the gutter by Silent T for his previous backstabbing.

            Won’t be such Happy Days for Ritchie Cunningham.

  • thor42

    “A likely majority of up to 90 seats in the 150-seat Parliament”.

    Wow – that is *huge!* I’m wondering if they got it wrong and they mean “a likely *figure* of 90 seats in the 150-seat Parliament”. That seems more likely (unfortunately).

  • Kiwikea

    Rudd had his “second” honeymoon period and should have gone straight away for an election before people started remembered what he was like. Now its all over.
    Any ideas on who will take over as leader of the party? Maybe they could parachute David Shearer in….

    • FredFrog

      Fuck that. They can have Wussel back to lead them even further into oblivion

  • Guest

    While it is clearly obvious you would have to wonder if such actions taken by the bookie could be seen as trying to pervert the course of democracy?
    No doubt I’ll get down voted and shouted down by you lot here but it just seems like they’re the inside man (the bookie), here’s the winning horse(Abbott), don’t bother betting on the other ones.

    Of course you all despise democracy while you wish to keep your leader in.

    Were the tables turned you’d be singing a different tune.

    • BW_Lord

      Yes, because bookies just love to pay out a squillion dollars for no good reason.
      If you could point to some policy which would indicate they would have preferential treatment under Abbott I’d be interested.