National’s Strategic Stupidity, Ctd

The latest poll shows National is the most popular party but it has no coalition partners and no route to government.

National would not have enough support to form a government with present support partners Act holding the same number of seats as they do now.And even if its other support partner, the Maori Party, kept its present three electorate seats, National’s 56 seats plus five for its support partners would still not be enough to form a government.

This was obvious to anyone with half a brain for years, yet Steven Joyce tanked any National involvement in changing the electoral system in the 2011 election.

National did nothing, preserving Steven Joyce’s 47% of the vote in 2011 and his power after the election but screwing National in the process. 

In the United Kingdom David Cameron came out strong against their version of MMP, AV, and the referendum was lost. Cameron now has a chance of winning power again because he took a stand on the electoral system that Steven Joyce refused to.

National 43.7 (down 5.1)
Labour 37.7 (up 6.8)
Green 11.3 (up 0.8)
NZ First 4.4 (down 0.7)
Maori Party 0.8 (down 1)
Mana Party 0.7 (up 0.2)
Act 01. ((down 0.1)
United Future 0 (down 0.3)
Conservatives 1 (down 0.5)

John Key 55.8 (down 9.4)
David Cunliffe 16.8 (up 14.6)
Winston Peters 6.2 (down 0.2)
Russel Norman 3.7 (up 0.1)

National 56
Labour 48
Greens 14
Maori 3
Mana 1
Act 1
United Future 1
•Assumes that Mana, Maori Party, Act and United Future retain their electorate seats.

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