Chart of the Day – 90 climate model projectons versus reality

Maybe the IPCC 95% certainty was right...just not the conclusion

As seen in the following graphic, over the period of the satellite record (1979-2012), both the surface and satellite observations produce linear temperature trends which are below 87 of the 90 climate models used in the comparison.

So, about 95% (actually, 96.7%) of the climate models warm faster than the observations. While they?said?they were 95% certain that most of the warming since the 1950s was due to human greenhouse gas emissions, what they?meant?to say was that they are 95% sure their climate models are warming too much.?

Honest mistake. Don?t you think? Maybe?

cmip5-90-models-global-tsfc-vs-obs1

 

 

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