Dodgy Socialist Dam based on Dodgy Water Model

The dodgy socialist dam being promoted by the dodgy Hawkes Bay Regional Council is based on a seriously flawed model that is being promoted by the ratbag council staff.

The Tukituki River Instream Model or TRIM is being used as justification for turning the Tukituki toxic. This dodgy model has the following flaws:

  • only manages one nutrient, Phosporous
  • does nothing to manage Nitrogen (which is what dairy cows produce to fuck up rivers)
  • has never been externally peer reviewed
  • uses synthetic flows, not real flows
  • has never been proved to work 

The model is so dodgy that the HBRC would not release it to submitters on the dam until forced to do so by court order. Even then the submitters were given no time to test the model.

The implications of not managing nitrogen is that it will turn the Tukituki toxic. It also makes the dam economics slightly viable by saving the $70 million dollars by letting farmers pollute free of charge and turn the Tukituki toxic.

This model needs a lot of scrutiny as it has been covered by the ratbags promoting the dam, including Nick Smith. It is an open secret that Nick Smith told DoC to remove the thirty two pages of submissions about this deeply flawed model and replace it with something neutral.


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