Last Herald poll of the year

The NZ Herald has published their last poll of the year and it shows National where it has always been and Labour slipping back as David Cunliffe fails to fire.

Audrey Young reports:

Labour’s poll support has slipped after an initial surge following David Cunliffe’s election as leader, the latest?Herald-DigiPoll survey shows.

The Maori Party would hold the balance of power if the figures were translated to an election result.

With the left and right blocs fairly evenly split, it could be a close election next year.

Neither National nor Labour would be able to form a government without the Maori Party.

Labour has fallen 2.3 points in the survey to 35.4 per cent. In the September poll, it had a surge in support and could have formed a government with just the Greens and Mana.?

National has risen 3.1 points and Prime Minister John Key has somewhat recovered in the preferred Prime Minister stakes, after taking a 9.4 point dive in the last poll.

He has jumped 6.1 points to 61.9 per cent, well ahead of Mr Cunliffe on 16.5 per cent.

Herald Poll

Party vote
? National – 46.8% (+3.1%)
? Labour – 35.4% (-2.3%)
? Greens – 10.8% (-0.5%)
? NZ First – 3.9% (-0.5%)
? Maori Party – 1.3% (+0.5%)
? Mana – 0.9% (+0.2%)
? Act – 0% (-0.1%)
? United Future – 0% (Same)
? Conservatives – 0.7% (-0.3%)
? Legalise Cannabis – 0.1% (Same)

Preferred Prime Minister
? John Key – 61.9% (+6.1%)
? David Cunliffe – 16.5% (-0.3%)
? Winston Peters – 7.3% (+1.1%)
? Russel Norman – 3.4% (-0.3%)
? Helen Clark – 3.2% (-0.3%)

Seats in the House
(Assumes Maori Party, Mana, Act and United Future retain electorate seats)
? National – 59
? Labour – 44
? Greens – 14
? Maori Party – 3
? Mana – 1
? Act – 1
? United Future – 1

48%