What happens next for Labour?

indescent

The Herald/Digipoll signals disaster for Labour and for David Cunliffe.

Labour are in exactly the same place as National was for 2002. A party bereft of ideas, populated with deadwood, lead by an idiot whose sycophants think he is the chosen one.

The reality is that Labour and Cunliffe are both pants and the voters know it.

So what happens next?

Fortunately those of us who remember the 2002 debacle know what is coming.

The electorate MPs will look at these numbers and realise that despite the activists believing in David Cunliffe they were right, the party elected a fool. The fool is now proceeding to fly the plane into in the ground.

They will realise that with every drop in their numbers it is starting to affect their seat. So they will go back to their electorates and run a candidate only campaign. They won’t put up signs with Cunliffe on them and they will focus on local issues in a bid to keep themselves in a job. 

As a result the party vote will sink lower and then voters will realise that Labour and Cunliffe are losers and people simply don’t vote for losers.

The list MPs are the ones who are in real strife. Every percentage point knocked off labour’s party vote puts more fear into their ranks. But they can’t do anything to arrest the slide. Mostly they are useless, led by a more useless leader.

Once the fear sets in it really is all over for Labour. The only question remaining will be how low can they go…and will David Cunliffe beat Bill English’s record low.

After the election is over and Labour’s caucus can meet in a phone box the real soul searching will begin and they will find that they face being out of power for a generation if they don;t do something drastic. National renewed after 2002, and periodically in the interceding years have gone through a couple of iterations, especially this term.

Labour won’t be able to rely on the “tired old government” lines in attacking National in 2017…they will still have Mallard, Goff and King sitting there warming seats. Unless Labour goes through a dramatic renewal they will still look out of sorts and even if they do they will be labelled as too new to be trusted.

Helen Clark’s legacy for the Labour party promises to be one of electoral oblivion and irrelevance unless something dramatic happens.

Cunliffe-asleep

David Cunliffe is asleep at the helm of Labour


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