Herald poll vs Whaleoil poll

The Herald-Digipoll results came out this morning.  As you may recall, we ran our own survey a little while ago so we could compare.

The Digipoll had 750 responses


March 2014 Herald-Digipoll

Our poll had 1175 responses

March 2014 Whaleoil Poll

March 2014 Whaleoil Poll

That shows you how few Labour and Green voters frequent Whaleoil.  No surprises there.

Preferred Prime Minister results were these

March 2014 Herald-Digipoll

March 2014 Herald-Digipoll

and ours

March 2014 Whaleoil Poll

March 2014 Whaleoil Poll

If anything, we can conclude that Whaleoil readers are a right leaning bunch and hardly representative of the electorate as a whole.

If you’re surprised at that, let me know on the comments.

I think the real gem of the Herald-Digipoll lies in the very last bit of the article:

Auckland v rest of the country
*National is a little bit more popular in Auckland (53.8%) than the rest of the country (48.8%).
*Labour is less popular in Auckland (26.7%) than it is in the rest of the country (31%).
*The Greens have the same level of popularity in Auckland (13.4%) as the rest of the country (13%).
*NZ First is less popular in Auckland (1.6%) than the rest of the country (4.49%).

It looks like the election will be won and lost in Auckland, again.

My prediction?  Wait for an avalanche of election bribes for lower to lower middle income households to be announced by Labour over the next few months.

As desperation sets in, they will go for the quick fix:  buy back west and south Auckland.

NZ First is going to need an electorate seat.  No way they can turn 1.6% in Auckland into something large enough to get over 5% nation-wide.  It is interesting that Winston gets 6.5% of the preferred prime minister vote, but NZ First only 3.6% as a party.

If that doesn’t prove NZ First is still a Winston Peters personality cult, I don’t know what is.  He’s getting on.  Once Peters steps out of parliament, NZ First is definitely an historical footnote.

The final word?  I’ll leave that to NZ Herald readers



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