What 22.4% means for Labour



Labour polled at 22.4% in the Fairfax poll yesterday.

This has some pretty major implications for Labour.

The biggest implication is they may lose all their list MPs, depending on how many electorates they win.

There could be an overhang as Labour wins more electorates than it deserves seats. So no more Parker, Ardern, Cosgrove, Moroney, Little or Street.   

The other big problem for Labour is they are now in dangerous territory where they cannot expect to pick up any electorates from National and will have to start defending seats that should be safe.

In this category is Palmerston North, Hutt South (where Trevor was stitched up by his own side at boundary changes) and Port Hills.

Seats they should win, like Auckland Central, Waimakariri and Christchurch Central will not be in play.

Rumours are that Labour has also kissed goodbye to West Coast-Tasman meaning yet another bloke in Labour cops one in teh chook because David Cunliffe is a tits leader.

Labour’s caucus must be hating themselves for knifing David Shearer.

He was getting at least 10% more when they axed him.

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