Is there much use to political polls?

Grumpollie has crunched the numbers:

Here is the actual (provisional) result and the last polls


And here are how much they were all out by


Looks like the Herald got the best value for money via Digipoll, and 3News need to ask for a refund.

It also shows that analysing polls as they come out is pretty much a pointless exercise, albeit a bit of fun.

Only a week ago John Key had “crashed” because he lost 4% on his preferred PM rating.  And yet, with all the media beating it up for all it was worth, the voters were not going to listen.

Polls and media do not decide elections, in spite of some people thinking they do.


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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story.  And when he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet.   Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet, and as a result he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist that takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him.  But you can’t ignore him.