Is there much use to political polls?

Grumpollie has crunched the numbers:

Here is the actual (provisional) result and the last polls

table-1

And here are how much they were all out by

table-2

Looks like the Herald got the best value for money via Digipoll, and 3News need to ask for a refund.

It also shows that analysing polls as they come out is pretty much a pointless exercise, albeit a bit of fun.

Only a week ago John Key had “crashed” because he lost 4% on his preferred PM rating.  And yet, with all the media beating it up for all it was worth, the voters were not going to listen.

Polls and media do not decide elections, in spite of some people thinking they do.

kb


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