Patrick Gower on the election

When Patrick Gower isn’t taking stories from me, he is taking stolen materials from hackers.

But today he writes in the Herald on Sunday about the election.

Try to make sense of this: it looks like John Key can’t lose an election that he can’t win.

Yes, Key in an unloseable position in an unwinnable race.

The polls show the left can’t win – they can’t get the numbers together to get a feasible majority no matter what.

The right can get the numbers together to win – but not without some serious compromises. It looks as if it’s not a matter of whether Key wins, but more how he wins.

For several years now the opposition have mocked John Key, along with the pundits like Gower, claiming he didn’t have support partners.

Now it looks like National has plenty of support partners…so many that National may be able to form a government easily with at least 60% of the vote.

Things aren’t so flash on the other side.

Let’s start with the death throes of the left.

The Greens’ tricky, cynical and reheated claim they could work with National was probably the final gasp of the left bloc this week.

It was just Greenwash, really: Russel Norman and Metiria Turei hate Key and everything he stands for, and have spent the past three years bashing National.

To be fair, the Greens owe Labour nothing. Labour has treated the Greens poorly all year, trying to pretend they don’t really exist.

Now it’s payback time, with the vegetarian vultures feasting on Labour’s carcass.

The maths doesn’t work for David Cunliffe and his pals on the left…they simply do not have enough to win, not even with every single other party against John key all coalescing.

Gower then claims that National’s own options have been harmed by Dirty Politics…I think he is wrong…he should step out of the beltway for a bit and find out what is really going on.

Meanwhile, Key’s dream of National going it alone or even doing it the easy way with Act-United Future has gone down the dirty politics drainpipe.

The end result of the Dirty Politics scandal may be that although a majority of voters don’t want a change of Government they do want the Government to change the way it acts.

Thus the strength of New Zealand First and the surge of the Conservatives.

Some centre-right voters have clearly deserted National because of dirty politics and are looking to Winston Peters and Colin Craig to keep ’em honest.

Poor Patrick, you do have lead him to water sometimes. He hasn’t looked at the polls much obviously. National’s support is locked in. No one has abandoned National because of a lop-sided book and media frenzy attempting to influence the election.

NZ First and the Conservatives are not taking National votes, they are taking conservative left and men’s votes off of Labour.

A reasonable effort from Gower, a bit all over the place but some nubs of original ideas in there. Shame he couldn’t extrapolate them past a sound bite.


– NZ Herald

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