Roy Morgan

Latest NZ Voting Intention from Roy Morgan

National 46.5%  (up 1.5)

Labour 24%  (down 2)

Greens 13.5% (down 2.5)

NZ First 8% (up 2)

Maori Party 1.5% (up 1)

ACT 0.5%  (down 0.5)

United Future 0.5% (up 0.5)

Internet-Mana 1%  (n/c)

Conservative 3.5%  (n/c)


Nat+ACT+United+Maori = up 2.5

Labour+Green+Int/Mana = down 4.5

NZ First = up 2

Summary from Curia

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 30
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 30 + Greens 17 + Mana/Internet 1 = 48/121 – thirteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 3 = 13/121

On this poll NZ First and the Maori Party would have the balance of power. National could govern with either of them, while Labour would need both of them.


Do you want:

  • Ad-free access?
  • Access to our very popular daily crossword?
  • Access to daily sudoku?
  • Access to Incite Politics magazine articles?
  • Access to podcasts?
  • Access to political polls?

Our subscribers’ financial support is the reason why we have been able to offer our latest service; Audio blogs. 

Click Here  to support us and watch the number of services grow.

As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.