Ice free Arctic? Not anytime soon

Remember the claims by warmists, that the turning point had been reached, that the Arctic would be ice free by 2012?

Yeah, not happening.

While global warming seems to have set the polar north on a path to floe-free summers, the latest data from Europe’s Cryosat mission suggests it may take a while yet to reach those conditions.

The spacecraft observed 7,500 cu km of ice cover in October when the Arctic traditionally starts its post-summer freeze-up.

This was only slightly down on 2013 when 8,800 cu km were recorded.

Two cool summers in a row have now allowed the pack to increase and then hold on to a good deal of its volume.

And while the ice is still much reduced compared with the 20,000 cu km that used to stick around in the Octobers of the early 1980s, there is no evidence to indicate a collapse is imminent.

“What we see is the volume going down and down, but then, because of a relatively cool summer, coming back up to form a new high stand,” said Rachel Tilling from the UK’s Nerc Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling (CPOM) at University College London (UCL).

“So, what may be occurring here is a decline that looks a bit like a sawtooth, where we can lose volume but then recover some of it if there happens to be a shorter melt season one year,” she told BBC News.

The British researcher is presenting her work this week at the American Geophysical Union’s Fall Meeting in San Francisco.

Cryosat is the European Space Agency’s (Esa) dedicated polar monitoring platform.

We are well past the predicted ice free status of the Arctic.





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  • Brian Dingwall

    And global sea ice is at its greatest extent since 1988 (day 348 of this year)

    And the gap between models and observations is at unprecedentedly high levels
    As I believe is the gap between satellite data, and the estimated, in-filled, homogenised, land temperature series…..go figure…

    • Day Day

      Sunshinehours rocks. Tends to shut the warmists up, at least the ones who are readily equipped to understand graphs.

  • timemagazine

    Rember the 70s and 80s when the hippies from the academic world were telling us that in a few years we will all freez to death? As inconvenient as it might be for them, people are still around. Then came the 90’s and the same hippies in the academia thought of something different. Global warming. But they were proven wrong again. Huge amounts of taxpayers money from around the world were just waisted. Now the same left-over hippies and their lackies in the media have a new ” concept” called climate change. This climate change notion can be used to explain any weather changes or weather events occurring around the world.
    The Marxists at the UN have conducted a poll in which around 6 million people stated their priorities and climate change the very last of their concerns. Did you hear or read about it anywhere in the media?( I think I read about this on Breitbart.)

  • Doc45

    Gore and co lost the prediction stakes on the extent of arctic ice so they have shifted the goal posts. Its not extent any more its ‘depth of ice’ that counts now. We are losing thickness not area!!! Mind you its not being measured by scuba divers with rulers – its being done by computer models. And computer models don’t get it wrong do they??

    • Bretto

      Speaking of moving goalposts, you’ll notice how it’s no longer “global warming”, cos that’s not really happening… it’s “climate change” (aka “betting both ways to keep the grants coming”). Because the climate has never changed before. Excluding the ice ages.

  • Ilovelife

    How come the whole world is suffering from global warming and Auckland is freezing today…and this is meant to be Summer?