Crikey. Even Red Radio is to the right of TV3

3 News and Paddy Gower specifically have spun their poll results as a huge win for Andrew Little.  But as we’ve seen, it’s hardly anything substantial, especially when you compare the results with National and John Key.

This is how Brent Edwards sees it

Public support for the National Party is going up just a few months after the start of its third term in Government.

In the latest 3News-Reid Research poll National got 49.8 percent, compared with the 47.04 percent of actual votes it won in the election last September.

In the final 3News poll before the election National had scored 44.5 percent support.

This most recent poll surveyed 1000 people and was conducted between January 20 and 28. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.1 percent.

A Roy Morgan poll out earlier in January put National on 52 percent support.

Usually political parties going into their third term on the Treasury benches begin to lose public support.

But there is no sign yet that the public have begun to tire of Prime Minister, John Key, or his Government.

In the 3News poll support for Labour was 29.1 percent, compared with its election result of 25.13 percent.

Labour’s gain appeared to come at the expense of the Green and New Zealand First parties.

Apart from the fact that we have such level-headed reporting from Radio New Zealand, doesn’t it just draw a stark contrast with the extreme left position that 3 News seems to have put itself in?  All rather remarkable, to be honest.   

But in all the questions on leaders’ performance John Key scored higher, with 63 percent saying he was peforming well, while 81 percent said the Prime Minister was a capable leader.

Only 54 percent said the same about Andrew Little but again that is the best result for a Labour leader since Helen Clark.

Both the 3News and Roy Morgan polls were taken after a long summer break during which there was little, if any, coverage of politics.

Most interest will focus on whether Labour can make any dent in National’s lead in the opinion polls once the political year gets into full swing.

Mr Key and Mr Little delivered their state-of-the-nation speeches last week but Parliament does not resume sitting until next week.

This week both major parties hold caucus retreats. National MPs are meeting on Tuesday at Premier House, while Labour MPs have headed to the Wairarapa for a two-day meeting.

So basically, Angry Andy is more capably in charge of a party that still has no support from anyone but the blind and pathologically faithful.  They only manages to cannibalise their Green Taliban mates’ support to give the impression of Little making any kind of headway.

The fact that “and he hasn’t even stuffed up, once!” is Little’s crowning achievement really must have John Key worried.   Or maybe not.

What is truly remarkable is that a third term government, returned on a bigger vote than the previous terms, also increases support.  That’s the story.  Not that Angry Little Andy has managed to get through a few weeks off without making an exploitable boo-boo.


– Brent Edwards, RNZ

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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.