No post conference bounce for Labour…not even a dead cat bounce

The latest Roy Morgan poll is out and it still isn’t good reading for Labour.

I don’t hold much stock in Roy Morgan polls but the left-wing love it. This poll shows that there was no post conference bounce for Labour who spent the entire conference telling us they were focused on job, jobs, jobs.

Labour came off the back of their conference wanting to talk about jobs and sugar tax, and they’ve blown up their own momentum. The Roy Morgan shows that but it doesn’t yet show the damage done from grandstanding and cuddling criminals.

During November support for National fell 1% to 49% still well ahead of a potential Labour/Greens alliance 41.5% (up 1%) according to the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll conducted before controversy erupted this week after PM John Key accused Opposition Leader Andrew Little of backing rapists in a debate about New Zealanders convicted of serious crimes facing deportation from Australia. If a New Zealand Election were held now the latest NZ Roy Morgan Poll shows National would be easily re-elected.   

Support for the National partners the Maori Party improved to 2% (up 1.5%) while the other partners were unchanged; Act NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0% (unchanged).

Of the three Parliamentary Opposition parties – Labour’s support is now at 29.5% (up 0.5%), Greens 12% (up 0.5%) but support for NZ First decreased to 6% (down 0.5%). Of the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 0.5% (unchanged), the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0.5% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 0% (down 1%).

Labour isn’t making any inroads despite Annette King telling caucus and anyone else who will listen that their rolling average is 32%. This poll is far more on the money for the real position of Labour, under 30%.

If something doesn’t move soon pressure is going to mount on Andrew Little if he can’t get close to the numbers that David Shearer enjoyed.


– Roy Morgan

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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.