The delusions of the left

The left-wing is seeing hope in the Roy Morgan poll, despite Labour scoring their second lowest result since October 2014 when they polled 22.4%.

They are busily leaking internal poll results to bloggers like Martyn Bradbury who is treating Rob Salmond’s numbers as gospel. They are also leaking to unionists who are busily shilling details on Twitter.

williams tweet

The problem with these leaks is that I conduct my own polling via INCITE: Politics and Curia polling. The reason I use Curia is because they, and David Farrar, are simply the best pollsters in New Zealand.

Our poll results measuring favourability don’t show that at all. In fact they show that Andrew Little’s favourables are tanking and John Key’s rose a little.

Martyn Bradbury meanwhile is spinning up Labour’s own internal polling, which if they still used UMR might be believable, but since they stopped paying their bills anything coming from Labour is going to be rubbish. 

In one post he says:

The internal research shows that Key has been hit hard by the flag referendum, the ponytail hair pulling and the TPPA. Voters are turning away from Key in droves, but they don’t see an alternative. When asked if they could name a Labour Party policy, many couldn’t.

And in another post he again talks about Labour’s internal polling:

Looking at some internal Party Research this week, there was much that made for interesting reading.

The biggest take away is the manner in which Key’s favourability has collapsed. The research was taken before the Tax Haven scandal had erupted but for many NZers, the TPPA, ponytail pulling and the flag referendum have crossed thresholds where a lot more voters now see Key as arrogant and smug.

So why isn’t that jump in  dislike being reflected in polls? Because as much as NZers are now wary and disliking of Key, they see no real political alternative.

As I said earlier, our polling is not showing this, and in the absence of any real numbers from a reputable polling company I suggest this is utter bullshit from Bradbury and Labour. Media subscribe to INCITE: Politics, and that is why they aren’t buying the spin being shilled by Bradbury and Jessica Williams.

Quite simply they are being fed rubbish.

Another point worth considering is why Labour would even dream of sharing their poll numbers with Martyn Bradbury. He has a long, long history of being hostile to Labour and an even longer history of being wrong.

His prescription for Labour to turn around the polls is laughable:

This means Labour have to think of alternative means of communication. Old school town hall meetings and the launch of a new social contract would make that cut through.

Town hall meetings? More likely we will hear calls for Spark to reintroduce phone boxes so Andrew Little has venues he can fill to capacity.

The political retard is strong in Bradbury, he goes further:

What possible moves should Labour consider knowing this?

  • Labour need to launch a fresh policy platform – ‘The New Social Contract’ to tackle the issues Key simply claims aren’t issues and use this new policy platform to attract voters attention.
  • Bypass traditional media for a winter series of barnstorming town hall meetings using this new policy platform and live streamed around the country. Combining flaxroot localism with social media amplification. Labour can’t get through the impenetrable wall of mainstream media clickbait headlines, but they can generate their own media.
  • Remind voters again and again that tax haven building John Key is not ruling in the interests of the people, that he’s ruling in the interests of oil companies, casinos, alcohol industry, fast food industry, Corporate Hollywood, Oravida, property speculators, Washington, Beijing – this is what will convince NZers to change votes.

I’m really hoping that Labour has this muppet on the payroll, because none of that matters. Have you wondered why there hasn’t been a peep about the Panama Papers in the last week? Well, because there is nothing in it, despite the wailing of the left, there was simply nothing in it. So if Labour wants to listen to Martyn Bradbury, all power to them.

With the latest Roy Morgan poll Bill English will have a grin because he knows the major parties always slip and 20.9% isn’t that far off 26% is it? He might finally get that monkey off his back.

So, who are you going to believe? People with vested interests shilling poll numbers no one has seen or someone who pays for polling and analyses real numbers?

 

– The Daily Blog, Twitter


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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story.  And when he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet.   Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet, and as a result he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist that takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him.  But you can’t ignore him.

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