The unthinkable? Trump may actually get the nomination

via Reuters

via Reuters

Donald Trump’s new top political strategist predicts the Republican presidential front-runner will amass the votes needed to win the nomination.

Donald Trump’s new top political strategist predicts the Republican presidential front-runner will amass the 1237 delegates needed to clinch his party’s nomination well before the Republican National Convention in July.

Veteran campaign tactician Paul Manafort was chosen by Trump on Thursday (local time) to oversee a fractious nomination process that many Republicans expect may not yield a clear winner before the convention.

Manafort said on CNN’s “New Day” program on Friday that rival Ted Cruz, the US senator from Texas, will not be able to dent Trump’s delegate lead before California’s June 7 primary.

“The reality is: Ted Cruz has seen his best day,” Manafort said. “The reality is: this convention process will be over with sometime in June, probably June 7, and it’ll be apparent to the world that Trump is over that 1237 number.”

Trump has been uncharacteristically quiet on social media after his double-digit loss to Cruz in the Wisconsin primary on Tuesday, which followed a series of missteps on the campaign trail including his statement, later recanted, advocating punishment for women who have illegal abortions.

In elevating Manafort, Trump said he would add more staff before the convention in an expansion of his campaign team beyond the close-knit group of advisers who have been at his side since he jumped into the presidential race last June.

Either way, we have fascinating times ahead.  If Trump wins the nomination outright then the party is going to have to decide if it wants to win with Trump or watch Hillary sail to victory.

– Newshub


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  • Crowgirl

    I think Hillary will sail to victory regardless of whether it’s Cruz or Trump opposing. It’s just a matter of how much the GOP wants to lose by. Most polls seem to have her ahead.

    • Orca

      If Hillary wins, she will of course throw open the refugee floodgates. Has anyone stopped to think how her new friends will consider her? Remember when Obama was elected, there were deriding cries from Islamic countries about how the US now had the descendant of african slaves for a president? Those same countries are sure going to love having a female president of the US. I guess her first task will be to come up with a new slogan, like: “Leader of the Formerly-Free world”.

    • Phooey

      If she does not get arrested first. If Trump gets the nomination he will wage a very targeted and effective campaign against her.

      • Crowgirl

        It seems like she won’t get indicted, and I’m extremely iffy about Trump getting the nomination as well. I think they’ll find a way of pouring cold water on him. He’s been off his game as well lately – a couple more losses and he will lose serious momentum.

  • Edward M Blake

    Trump may be unelectable to some but none of the alternatives know how to win. They are all Republican David Shearer’s and Cunliffe’s.
    Is it me and all this endless talk of conservative values have done for the republicans what socialism has done for Labor.

  • Sticktotheknitting

    The average man in the street wants a stop to all the ‘politicking’ behind the scenes. Trump has got people out of their chairs and into the polling booth. Trump doesn’t do P.C. and it is P.C. that is killing us and our values and freedom. Remember when it was said ” I don’t agree with you but I will defend your right to say it”
    Nowadays we are too scared to say what we really think and demonize
    people who are brave enough.

    • JEL51

      Ben Carson is no fool.His decision to back Trump was about the future.If the democrats get back in then there will be no getting back to the basics that gave the country the strength that it once had.
      I agree with this article that Trump may get through. The silent majority are sick of being dictated too by the Left. They have had enough of being told how to think, how to speak, how to eat and how to behave. It is push-back time for most Western countries, so watch-out for the mess.

  • Keanne Lawrence

    They have their own ABC (Anybody But Clinton) faction that will benefit Trump overtly as she has proven untrustworthy and unelectable before. Cruz is scratching and has to rely on the gutter tactics of personal attacks in the absence of any original thinking. Platitudes and pandering can not save him.

  • SaggyNaggy

    This is all bluster. It’s highly unlikely at this point that Trump will get to 1237 on current polling and predictions. He’d have to outperform by a wide margin, something that he has never actually done anywhere.

    The nominee will be whoever can get 1237 delegates to vote for them at the convention. If Trump can’t do it, Cruz probably will. A majority of delegates voting for you is a mandate, however you want to look at it.

    • Edward M Blake

      Pretty sure that if Trump doesn’t get the 1237 neither Trump or Cruz are going to be the winners of a brokerd convention. The only small detail will be selling the result to the public.

      • Dog Breath

        And that is the Republican problem. This result is a Republican result it’s not a whole of USA result. If Trump wins it won’t matter who wins the Conservative nomination as Trump has isolated and offended so many women and the non white vote which is greater than the 50% needed to win the Presidency. Cruz would have a chance but I think the damage has been done to the Republican campaign that will see them out of the President chair for another 4 years.

        • Edward M Blake

          Only if you subscribe to the misery that is identity politics.
          Buy the way have you looked at Hillary’s disapproval rating? No one seems to want to talk about that. Fear of being a sexist misogynist.

          • Dog Breath

            It’s going to be an interesting and scary election all at the same time any which way it goes.

      • SaggyNaggy

        I think if Trump doesn’t get to 1237, the GOP would be mad to ignore their voters, who mostly voted for either Trump or Cruz. It’s a fantasy that anyone else will be put in, unless there are several deadlocked ballots. And if it’s not Trump, it will almost certainly be Cruz.

        There are no good solutions for them at this point – the orange one has truly poisoned the well. But the least they can do is make sure they only upset one or the other set of supporters, rather than pretty much everybody by parachuting in someone else.

    • JohnO

      Trump needs 58% of remaining delegates , also the floating delegates could easily end up on Trump’s side making it no contest. Cruz needs 88% of remaining delegates and Kasich 120%

      • SaggyNaggy

        I don’t think you realise who the floating delegates are. Most of them are people the Cruz team got elected! And the rest are genuine GOP activists, most of whom think Trump is a fraud.

        Cruz does not need to win a majority of the delegates in the primaries. If nobody wins a majority, which is looking like the most likely scenario at this point, those delegates will break for Cruz on the second ballot. The 88% number is all but irrelevant.

  • Builder

    Sometimes an opportunity comes along to change direction in a country. It happened in NZ, 1984 with Rogernomics. In the USA, Trump has that opportunity if he wins. A time to clear out the dead wood, fix the immigration problems, run the country more efficiently, fix the military including Nato, Middle East, and refugee problems.

    He is smart enough to take good advice from the experts. If he gets America back to prosperity, it will be good for New Zealand as well. A rising tide lifts all boats.

    • Keyser Soze

      And a falling tide?

      • Builder

        It couldn’t be any worse than Obama has left it with 17 trillion of debt, endless wars without victory, terrorism on US soil etc.

        • rexabus

          Yes, single issue for me – muslim immigration. A long way away but I’d be for the guy who’d shut the door …and hopefully it might have a ripple effect in free thinking democracies when they see what a mess their tolerant, compassionate neighbors are getting into

    • Mine it,Drill it,Sell it.

      Non earning better than a builder to grow our city.Don’t think so losers !!!!

  • LabTested

    Yesterday former NY mayor Rudy Giuliani endorsed Trump

  • JohnO

    If the FBI does not come up with a damning report on Clinton and there are no further large Islamic atrocities in Europe or USA before the election then Clinton may win the USA election. Either the FBI report or the Islamic atrocity by itself is enough to put Trump over the line. Both events together turns it into a landslide presidential victory for Trump. I would not bet against Trump winning the presidential election.

  • Richard

    This is just dumb
    The guy has just got a job – is he going to say “we will lose”