The PM’s favourite pollster at Curia releases the inconvenient truth

I use Curia to do our polling for INCITE:Politics, so I don’t mind running a little advert for David when he can actually tear himself away from theatre reviews, walking reports and angsty questions about technology upgrades.

The situation in NZ was:

National’s party vote is lower than a year ago but slightly higher than three years ago.

Labour’s party vote is lower than one and three years ago.

The Green’s party vote is around the same as a year ago.

NZ First party vote is up from a year ago and up from three years ago.

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Labour are doing their own polling.   The problem with that is the bias that creeps in.  Let’s call it bias, because their own caucus are being fed numbers in the low thirties.

As for a “boost” from the Panama Papers… no.

I wonder how long the Labour MPs are going to accept being lied to.  Because for them to be right, it means every other independent polling company is wrong.


– Curia, David Farrar, Kiwiblog


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  • Alan Beresford B’Stard

    Worryingly the real news is the rise of NZF and Winnie, at this rate he will definitely hold the balance of power. Something I for one do not want to see.

    • James M

      Let’s just hope that he stays true to his word that he won’t side with the greens.

      Now that I think about it, what’s winnies word worth?

    • OneTrack

      If you want to to roll the dice and risk a Labour/NZ First/Green hydra from hell, vote Winston. The hard left seem to have accepted that giving him the prime ministership is the price they are willing to pay to get their trotters under the treasury benches.

  • JEL51

    I wish the Greens were challenged more so those younger minds would see them for what are and not what they pretend to be.

    • Left Right Out

      Oh their challenge alright….. but not in the way you are wanting

  • sheppy

    Is this taken before Saint Nickys latest non smoking gun? If it’s taken after I’m surprised it’s not even lower

    • Wasapilot

      Before I think Sheppy. The next poll will be interesting, perhaps unlikely to change party vote %ge to much, but may see angry plummet by yet another 2%, Mr 5%.

      • sheppy

        That’s one I look forward to – bet it’ll be another “rogue poll” when it arrives….

  • Left Right Out

    At 7% I’m pretty sure Angry can now stop signing his emails “Leader of the Opposition”

    • Dave

      Yes, its false advertising, something he cannot back up, it should be, leader of the 2nd opposition party.

      • shykiwibloke

        Or perhaps Co-leader of the opposition might suit those he depends on?

    • shykiwibloke

      More like ‘Bleeder of the opposition’. How long will the party allow the haemorrhaging to continue?