Latest Roy Morgan poll proves Andrew Little was right to ignore the centre

It seems I was wrong. And Helen Clark was wrong, and John Key was wrong. The winning of the election isn’t in the centre, it is heading left like Bryan Gould says.

The latest Roy Morgan poll suggests that Andrew Little’s eschewing of the centre is a brilliant move. Instead of trying to out National National, they need to double down on socialism…it’s working.


During September support for National fell for the second straight month, by 4.5% to 41.5% (the lowest support for National in three years since September 2013) now clearly behind a potential Labour/Greens alliance 45.5% (up 5.5%) for the first time in a year ? since September 2015 after Prime Minister John Key attended several overseas summits in early September. ?

If a New Zealand Election was held now the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows NZ First would hold the balance of power in determining whether a National-led Government would continue or whether there would be a three-party alliance of Labour/Greens/NZ First governing.

Support for the National partners was up slightly with the Maori Party up 0.5% to 2% while Act NZ was 1% (unchanged) and United Future was 0% (unchanged).

Of the three Parliamentary Opposition parties – Labour?s support was at 33.5% (up a large 8% to its equal highest support since November 2013), Greens 12% (down 2.5%) and NZ First 8.5% (down 1%). Of the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ was 0.5% (down 0.5%), the Mana Party was 0% (down 0.5%) and support for Independent/ Other was 1% (up 0.5%).

Andrew Little is a political genius, who would have thought his policies and public statements of the past few months would have delivered up such a dramatic return to fortunes for the Labour party.

There will be no more grumbling in caucus now, he’s almost back up to where David Shearer was 3 years ago.

Perhaps he could adopt some Corbyn of Chavez-style policies to really cement the gains.


– Roy Morgan