This is what happens when you go dog on your mates

Like NZ did to Fiji when we turned or backs on our mates, the US has done the same to Israel.

When you are spurned you find better friends. Fiji tuned north, and now Israel has cut a deal with Russia and is improving relations with Sunni states in the region, while Obama looks on.

There is perhaps only one thing harder for the American mind to process than the fact that President Obama has been a terrible foreign policy president, and that is that Bibi Netanyahu is an extraordinarily successful Israeli Prime Minister. In Asia, in Africa, in Latin America, Israel’s diplomacy is moving from strength to strength. Virtually every Arab and Middle Eastern leader thinks that Bibi is smarter and stronger than President Obama, and as American prestige across the Middle East has waned under Obama, Israel’s prestige — even among people who hate it — has grown. Bibi’s reset with Russia, unlike Obama’s, actually worked. His pivot to Asia has been more successful than Obama’s. He has had far more success building bridges to Sunni Muslims than President Obama, and both Russia and Iran take Bibi and his red lines much more seriously than they take Obama’s expostulations and pious hopes.

All those signs about Hope and Change came to nought. Bibi has outmanoeuvred the chump in the White House and now the US influence in the Middle East is somewhat diminished.

The reason that Bibi has been more successful than Obama is that Bibi understands how the world works better than Obama does. Bibi believes that in the harsh world of international politics, power wisely used matters more than good intentions eloquently phrased. Obama sought to build bridges to Sunni Muslims by making eloquent speeches in Cairo and Istanbul while ignoring the power political realities that Sunni states cared most about — like the rise of Iran and the Sunni cause in Syria. Bibi read the Sunnis more clearly than Obama did; the value of Israeli power to a Sunni world worried about Iran has led to something close to a revolution in Israel’s regional position. Again, Obama thought that reaching out to the Muslim Brotherhood (including its Palestinian affiliate, Hamas) would help American diplomacy and Middle Eastern democracy. Bibi understood that Sunni states like Egypt and its Saudi allies wanted Hamas crushed. Thus, as Obama tried to end the Gaza war on terms acceptable to Hamas and its allies, Bibi enjoyed the backing of both Egypt and Saudi Arabia in a successful effort to block Obama’s efforts. Israel’s neighbors may not like Bibi, but they believe they can count on him. They may think Obama has some beautiful ideas that he cares deeply about, but they think he’s erratic, unreliable, and doesn’t understand either them or their concerns.

When it comes to putting their enemies in cold, hard dirt no one does it better than Israel. How long do you think ISIS would last against the IDF?

But what has brought this about, apart from Obama’s anti-Israel stance?

The marginalization of Abbas at the UN doesn’t just reflect the world’s preoccupation with bigger crises in the neighborhood. It reflects a global perception that a) the Sunni Arab states overall are less powerful than they used to be and that b) partly as a result of their deteriorating situation, the Sunni Arab states care less about the Palestinian issue than they used to. This is why African countries that used to shun Israel as a result of Arab pressure are now happy to engage with Israel on a variety of economic and defense issues. India used to avoid Israel in part out of fear that its own Kashmir problem would be ‘Palestinianized’ into a major problem with its Arab neighbors and the third world. Even Japan and China were cautious about embracing Israel too publicly given the power of the Arab world and its importance both in the world of energy markets and in the nonaligned movement. No longer.Inevitably, all these developments undercut the salience of the Palestinian issue for world politics and even for Arab politics and they strengthen Israel’s position in the region and beyond. Obama has never really grasped this; Netanyahu has based his strategy on it. Ironically, much of the decline in Arab power is due to developments in the United States. Fracking has changed OPEC’s dynamics, and Obama’s tilt toward Iran has accelerated the crisis of Sunni Arab power. Netanyahu understands the impact of Obama’s country and Obama’s policy on the Middle East better than Obama does. Bibi, like a number of other leaders around the world, has been able to make significant international gains by exploiting the gaps in President Obama’s understanding of the world and in analyzing ways to profit from the unintended consequences and side effects of Obama policies that didn’t work out as Obama hoped.

Inevitably, all these developments undercut the salience of the Palestinian issue for world politics and even for Arab politics and they strengthen Israel’s position in the region and beyond. Obama has never really grasped this; Netanyahu has based his strategy on it. Ironically, much of the decline in Arab power is due to developments in the United States. Fracking has changed OPEC’s dynamics, and Obama’s tilt toward Iran has accelerated the crisis of Sunni Arab power. Netanyahu understands the impact of Obama’s country and Obama’s policy on the Middle East better than Obama does. Bibi, like a number of other leaders around the world, has been able to make significant international gains by exploiting the gaps in President Obama’s understanding of the world and in analyzing ways to profit from the unintended consequences and side effects of Obama policies that didn’t work out as Obama hoped.

Obama has not delivered for Americans and he went dog on his mates. Israel moved to fill the vacuum and now They are in a  stronger position. The biggest loser is the US and of course Obama.

 

– The American Interest

 

 

Please support Whaleoil.
Click Here
to subscribe to an ad-free Whaleoil.

Be part of making sure Whaleoil's voice continues.

  • Gazza

    My enemies enemy is my friend…

  • Jman

    This is an excellent analysis. I hope Trump understands this and is able to communicate this to the American voter.

  • andrewo

    Fascinating article. Thanks!

  • Damon Mudgway

    I will never understand the Obama regimes concessions to Iran. I know it sometimes benefits you to hug your enemy…but to sleep with them only for them to tell you to shut door on the way out?

    • Joe Burns

      Obumma has made a cornerstone of his “presidency” that of befriending USA’s enemies, and alienating their allies.

    • Isherman

      Obama’s true legacy will be the consequences, yet to materialize, of the Iran deal.

  • Boondecker

    Obama has only the legacy of failure to look forward to. His attitude towards Israel is one prime example why. From the outset of his tenure was to reverse the US global perspective through every policy and attitude, especially those held towards Israel.

    Clinton will without doubt follow suit. Her deputy, Tim Caine, is too dodgy for words as it is reported he has a very soft spot for Muslim immigration – if Clinton’s health precludes her from completing a term on office, he is the next real threat. The Democrat-controlled Whitehouse has all but turned the US foreign policy inside out over the last eight years, and will obviously continue down that path goinf by Clinton’s comments. The choosing of Obama 2.0 in Clinton (who is certainly no friend of Bibi’s) for POTUS, would place the final nails in the coffin for the once great superpower.

  • anniem

    Excellent piece. Thanks for posting.

47%