Roy Morgan poll shows slump for National in wake of Israel betrayal

Bit odd that we didn’t notice this two days ago when it came out.  Oddly enough, the left haven’t been leveraging this as any kind of win either.  Perhaps they too are cautious of the Roy Morgan as it is the most variable poll in New Zealand.

During March support for National fell by 4.5% to 43.5%, now just behind a potential Labour/ Greens alliance 44% (up 5%). If a New Zealand Election was held now the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows it would be too close to call with New Zealand first likely to play a decisive role in determining which parties would form the next Government.  

Support for the National partners was virtually unchanged with the Maori Party unchanged at 2%, Act NZ was 0.5% (down 0.5%) and United Future was 0.5% (up 0.5%).

Of the three Parliamentary Opposition parties – Labour’s support was at 29.5% (up 3.5%), Greens 14.5% (up 1.5%) and New Zealand First 7.5% (down 0.5%). Of the parties outside Parliament the Internet Party was 0.5% (up 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ was 0.5% (up 0.5%) and support for Independent/ Others was 1% (down 1%).

What is more interesting is that the usual whispers from National ministers about internal polling has stopped.  That generally means they aren’t happy.

It is clear enough to any observer that Bill is not John, and there is a price to be paid for the various issues the media have been hounding the government about while English especially has not been able to put them to bed.  Another minister that’s constantly in the news for all the wrong reasons is Nick Smith.

People are starting to see that Mr 22% may be a decent finance minister, but that doesn’t give him the skills to be across all the issues and deal with the pressures of that.  He won’t beat his own record, but it is definitely possible for National to return an election result in the high 30s.

National needs to take control of the narrative.  So far they have only been on the back foot this year.  It’s time to roll out communicators that aren’t as aloof as Bill English.  Communicators that clearly answer questions instead of waffling around the perhaps and maybes which then result in pressure on other ministers.



Do you want:

  • ad-free access?
  • access to our very popular daily crossword?
  • access to Incite Politics magazine articles?

Silver subscriptions and above go in the draw to win a $500 prize to be drawn at the end of March.

Not yet one of our awesome subscribers? Click Here and join us.

As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story.  And when he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet.   Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet, and as a result he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist that takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him.  But you can’t ignore him.