80 days out from the election and Labour slips again…so do Nats

One News has their latest Colmar Brunton poll and there is no good news for the left-wing and plenty of good news for Winston Peters.

After a month of scandals – National’s Todd Barclay resigned and Labour’s intern scandal – both of the major political parties have taken a hit, according to the poll.

National dropped two points to 47 per cent, while Labour dropped three points to 27 per cent.

The Green Party and New Zealand First are both up two points to 11 per cent.

The Maori Party is up one point to 2 per cent and The Opportunities Party is steady on 1 per cent.

When it comes to seats in what would be a Parliament of 122 MPs, National would have 57 seats.

With its current support parties of ACT, United Future and the Maori Party, it could muster a further four seats, bringing its total to 61, not quite a majority.

Under this scenario, National would need the support of New Zealand First and its 14 MPs to form a government.

Labour, meanwhile, with 33 and the Greens’ 14 could muster 47 seats.

Throw in New Zealand First’s 14 and the centre left block would also reach 61 seats – not enough for a majority, although it could technically force a hung Parliament.

The poll was conducted between July 1 and July 5 and has a sample size of 1007 eligible voters.

The margin of error is approximately plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

80 days out from an election and Labour and National are slumping, as predicted. It always happens. National will not be able to govern with existing partners and Labour can’t get there without Winston Peters AND the Greens.

I know where I am putting my money.

 

-1News


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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

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