The upside of the Jacinda effect: No more Peter Dunne

United Future leader Peter Dunne believes his support in Ohariu has been eroded because of the Jacinda Ardern effect but he questions how long that will last.

The Q + A show has a snap poll tomorrow which is expected to show Dunne trailing Labour candidate Greg O’Connor.

“The question is, and it is something everyone is trying to figure out at the moment, is how deep-seated that factor is,” Dunne told the Herald on Sunday.

“Is it a phenomenon that will pass by as quickly as it arose or is it something more substantial?

“I am not going to get too carried away or excited at this stage because I think there is a lot more water to flow under a rather big bridge.”

Dunne has held the west-Wellington seat since 1984, originally as a Labour MP, but held it in the 2014 election by only 710 votes. He has been a support partner of the National-led Government since 2008.

In the past National has campaigned for only the party vote but this time it is explicitly asking National supporters to give Dunne their electorate vote to keep him in Parliament.

Labour and the Greens have done an electorate deal in which the Greens are not standing in order to give O’Connor, the former police union boss, a stronger chance of rolling Dunne. The Greens had 2764 electorate votes last time.

You can’t have it all.  But if the Jacinda effect lasts until election day, Ohariu will fall to Labour.  This will kick another person off the Labour list, and it will – once and for all – get rid of the biggest parasite on New Zealand’s body politik.

 

– Audrey Young, NZ Herald

 


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