Jacindamania’s bubble has burst, Colmar Brunton shows massive swing to Nats

Bad news for Jacinda Ardern and Labour in the latest Colmar Brunton poll. There has been a massive turnaround as people discover that Comrade Jacinda isn’t all that.

The fortunes of our two major parties have been reversed in the latest 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll, which has National nine points ahead of Labour.

National has risen six points to 46 per cent compared to last week’s poll, while Labour has dropped by seven points to 37 per cent.

The Green Party has strengthened its vote up one point to 8 per cent. New Zealand First has gone in the opposite direction, down one point to 5 per cent.

The Opportunities Party is steady on 2 per cent and the Maori Party is steady on 1 per cent.

Bill English needs to thank Steve Joyce for his attacks on Labour’s tax plans. That appears to have succeeded.

National’s Bill English has also surged ahead in the preferred Prime Minister stakes, up five points to 37 per cent. Jacinda Ardern is down three points to 31 per cent.

It comes after an intense week of campaigning which saw Labour’s Ms Ardern make a U-turn on tax, and a protest by farmers in her hometown of Morrinsville.

The poll had a sample size of 1006 eligible voters who were interviewed between September 16-19.

This is a disaster for Labour in the final week. Traditionally Labour, National and the Greens slide away from final week polls. NZ First traditionally rises.

Bill English will now be nervous that his ministers attacks on Winston Peters may have killed off the only party that can keep him as PM. The only saving grace is that internal polling from both National and Labour have Winston on more than 5% and that public polls traditionally under-represent NZ First.

Labour will unhinge now and become bitter and nasty. It has already started.



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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.