A return to first past the post?

This election was very nearly a return to first past the post results…we have two major parties, two small ones and an irrelevancy called David Seymour.

Could we be heading for a first past the post result next election?

During the campaign, some minor parties, particularly ACT and NZ First, got hot under the collar about a lack of media coverage.

The two major parties were sucking up airtime and the others couldn’t seem to get the airtime they desired.

Peters and ACT leader David Seymour said the approach was like a return to FPP, where the only parties that mattered were red and blue.

But [Phillip] Temple disputed the notion, calling it a “false reading”.

The loss of the Māori Party, taking the party count to five, wasn’t unusual.

Parties came and went, and their share of the vote fluctuated. That result of MMP was visible in the German system — the system New Zealand’s electoral process was modelled on.

The Māori party was gone for now, but they could easily come back like NZ First did. The Greens had gone up and down, but they were still there. And TOP could easily become a force in 2020, he predicted.

If Labour and NZ First get together with the Greens I’d say there is a fair to even chance that both NZ First and the Greens will cease to exist.

The Greens are puritanical in their approach. They are a lot like the Libertarianz in that regard. They would far rather remain a protest movement than have to sit inside a government and compromise. If Labour shanks them to go with Winston, and they will, then the Green party will have essentially given up. They will enjoy another 3 years of nothing and finish up 21 years in parliament without a single concession to hang their hat on.

The Maori party extracted hundreds of millions of dollars of concessions from National, but they got no thanks whatsoever for it.

The only wrinkle, excuse my pun, is NZ First. Can they survive three years in a coalition with Labour? Can they survive it with National?

I think there is a distinct possibility of a reduction in at least one party come next election.



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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.