The back of the envelope analysis of why the polls still favour National

Most analysis of why National is still ahead in the polls is way too complex.

Here is my back of the envelope analysis.

About 3 weeks before the election people realised that Jacinda Ardern’s public persona and way of speaking were just plain annoying.  

Grant Robertson, Chris Hipkins, Phil Twyford and Kelvin Davis backed that up by being complete wombles too.

A personality had got them this far – then people discovered it wasn’t a pleasant or Prime Ministerial one.

Who likes being talked down to all the time?

It is as if NZ got married after a weekend in Las Vegas and now completely regrets it.


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