Leadership elections in National are simple. You need half of caucus plus one to vote for you to win. This is a scenario you can plan for many, many years in advance, even if you do not know the exact timing for the leadership election. Timing does not matter much, campaigning over a long period of time does.
Before the first caucus meeting of the year there was chatter that Bill may be rolled. This quickly turned to Bill would not be rolled and no one was challenging him . . .
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