This just in from the Ministry of Truth

Credit: Luke

One of our local mouthpieces for the Ministry of Disinformation Truth, Newshub, has gone on record to say that Antarctica is melting and, as a result, the sea-level rise could be 58m. Quote:

Antarctica is losing its ice three times faster than just six years ago, raising fears the frozen continent may not be that way for much longer.

“The sharp increase… is a big surprise,” said professor Andrew Shepherd of the University of Leeds, who led the latest research.

While it takes 360 billion tonnes of ice to raise sea levels just one millimetre, the reality is Antarctica has a lot of ice – 30 million cubic kilometres of it, a bit more than 30 quintillion tonnes.

That’s enough to raise sea levels by 58 metres.

Here’s what a 58m sea level rise will do to the New Zealand.

Most of central Auckland is gone, with only Newmarket, Epsom and Mt Roskill poking out of the flood. Mt Albert is now a peninsula, and Mt Wellington an island.

The rest of the super city area resembles Fiordland, with streams overflowing their banks in spider-like fractal patterns.

Further north, Cape Reinga now sits at the top of an an archipelago. Whangarei is underwater, Red Beach now sits a couple of kilometres offshore on the seabed, Helensville too. Titirangi is now a port town, the gateway to the Waitakere Ranges.

South Auckland is almost completely wiped out, now pretty much just Totara Park.

All that’s left of the Tauranga region is Mt Maunganui, sticking out of the expanded Pacific Ocean as a reminder of humankind’s folly.

But that’s the risk we took building a city on the sea’s edge. End of quote.

And on and on it witters with lots of scary maps showing how much of New Zealand would be underwater if the sea level rose 58m.

So let’s take a closer look.

Firstly, the video report that this is all based upon talks only about sea ice melting.  The melting of sea ice has absolutely no effect on sea level. Try this at home with a glass of water and some ice cubes.

So all the sea ice could melt and it would not raise the water level at Mission Bay or Oriental Bay one jot.

But that is hardly headline grabbing, is it?  No, we need scary statistics to keep the populace accepting zero carbon initiatives and carbon taxes and stuff.  We need to “pimp this ride”!

So roll the big lie: Quote.

While it takes 360 billion tonnes of ice to raise sea levels just one millimetre, the reality is Antarctica has a lot of ice – 30 million cubic kilometres of it, a bit more than 30 quintillion tonnes.  That’s enough to raise sea levels by 58 metres.End of quote.

The problem is, that is absolutely correct.  But like all good sleight of hand tricks, you never saw the card go up the sleeve.

From sea ice, which has no effect on sea level, we have suddenly jumped to all the ice in Antarctica, all 30 quintillion tonnes of the stuff.

So doing the maths.  To melt a tonne of ice in a day requires 3.86kW of energy to heat it up.  But the ice isn’t going to melt in a day, so let’s spin it out to 100 years.

Now multiplying the 3.86kW per tonne per day times 30 quintillion tonnes and dividing by 365 for days per year and dividing again by 100 for a century of melting it seems that the energy required would be approximately 3,170,868,507 million kW.

That is an awful lot of one bar heaters and multiway plug boards and a long extension cable from New Zealand.

It ain’t going to happen, so why print maps of it?

Screenshot Whaleoil

Just in case you were not convinced, a scary graph is produced showing the sea ice extent plummeting off the bottom of the chart.  In the 10 seconds that the graph was being drawn on the screen, how many viewers had time to notice the axis on the left? Not a lot of people would have seen that the graph stops at around 14.5 – not zero.

Wondering what the actual numbers were I went looking …

Well, well, well. That wasn’t mentioned now, was it?

The sea ice extent in 1980 was less than 2016.  2016 is a “tipping point” but an even worse figure in 1980 wasn’t?  Curiouser and curiouser, said Alice!

And remember this is only since satellite imagery was available. There is not even 40 years of data available yet. An utterly insignificant amount of time in the grand scheme of things.

But the best bit in the whole article had to be: Quote.

Mt Maunganui, sticking out of the expanded Pacific Ocean as a reminder of humankind’s folly. But that’s the risk we took building a city on the sea’s edge.” End of quote.

“the risk we took building a city on the sea’s edge.”

Really, Dan Satherley, really? Have you read any history ever?

 


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In solidarity with the those in the world’s most despised demographic, WH has decided to ‘come out’ as an old white male. WH enjoys exercising the white-male privilege that Whaleoil provides for him by writing the occasional post challenging climate change consensus; looking at random tech issues that tweak his interest, as a bit of a tech nerd; or generally poking the borax at anyone in public life who goes on record revealing their stupidity. WH never excelled on the sports field because his coaches never allowed him to play in his preferred position on the right-wing. WH also enjoys his MG.

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