What makes a good local MP?

Even in the MMP environment a good local MP makes a difference. Electorate MPs have twice the budget of list MPs working the same area, and list MPs have way less credibility than electorate MPs. It seems reasonable to assume that a good local MP and a good local campaign increase the all-important party vote?? especially since a high-ranking National party person told me, many years ago, this was what the evidence showed.

There are three really good local MPs worth considering: Stu Nash in Napier, Nick Smith in Nelson and Ruth Dyson in Port Hills.??

Port Hills

Port Hills Majority? Premium Over PV? Own PV less Opp PV??
Dyson ??????? 22,603 ?7,916 ? 5,778 ?(556)
Korako ??????? 14,687
Labour ??????? 16,825
National ??????? 17,381

Nelson

Nelson Majority? Premium Over PV? Own PV less Opp PV??
Smith ??????? 16,735 ? 4,283 ?361 ? (937)
Boyack ??????? 12,452
Lawrey (Green) ????????? 9,746
Labour ??????? 17,311
National ??????? 16,374
Green ????????? 9,746

Napier

Napier? Majority? Premium Over PV? Own PV less Opp PV??
Nash ??????? 20,677 ? 5,220 ? 5,996 (3,248)
Elliot ??????? 15,457
Labour ??????? 14,681
National ??????? 17,929

These are the raw numbers. They show Nash, Smith and Dyson winning when they probably should not win, demonstrating they are really good local MPs.

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