Are the shy tories going with Winston?

The other night my missus was rung by UMR. They wanted someone in the 18-35 age bracket…40 something…mumble…mumble is close enough so she answered.

I know other people who flat out lie to pollster. I just hang up on them because I have better things to do for 15 minutes of inane loaded questions.

The point is people these days are reticent to talk to pollsters, and sharing your political views on Twitter or Facebook ends in tears.

So, is there a protest vote out there who simply don’t answer the pollsters truthfully?

Brexit in Britain and Donald Trump’s election in the United States have revealed the polls can get it wrong, often dramatically. One of the reasons may be that some people feel too ashamed to admit where their allegiance lies – the “shame vote”.

Is a vote for New Zealand First on election day the “shame vote” that could upset the outcome of this country’s general election? Has a “chardonnay-drinking, pinky-finger pointing media”, according to leader Winston Peters, put pressure on polled voters to conceal their intentions?

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It is an historical cycle because history always repeats

We know from the past how civilisations rise and fall. The Roman empire is a good example. Their highly trained soldiers in peace time became idle and fat. Wealth and prosperity led to decadence and vice. They indulged their basest desires and eventually, their civilisation fell apart. When we look at all the factors that led to their decline so many of them are horribly familiar. What is happening now to Western civilisation is similar in many ways to what happened to the Romans. Don’t believe me? Watch the video and read the summary below. History definitely repeats.

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Important questions we’ve avoided this election

Business people standing with question mark on boards

Geoff Neal has seven questions.  I’ve answered the first three:

1.Why is our GDP per capita so low?

Our GDP is only about US $37,000 per person. Australia’s is $48,000, the United States is $57,000, and Ireland’s is $69,000.

If you want more wealth to go around, then you need strategies to increase GDP per capita, yet our political parties only seem capable of reactive redistribution measures like tax, tax credits, and welfare (the “ambulances at the bottom of the cliff”). Like all things in life, if you don’t fix the root cause, you don’t truly fix anything.

This is actually a very important question.  Especially when you realise that our economic success is mostly fuelled by immigration.  What happens when that stops?  Gulp.   Read more »

The Great Replacement

Voting for the leadership of this country may well be influenced by what is happening elsewhere. Jacinda, childless, pro-abortion, is up against Bill, with a family of six, with RC views on abortion. I have a thing about childless leaders of nations and many of these can be found in Europe. It is not news that demographics there are changing. It is news to me to see it being called “The Great Replacement”. In a way, there is an absurd contrast to “The Great War” which continues to observe centenary commemorations. Millions killed in fighting then contrast with millions not present due to birth control and abortion. To fill the vacuum comes others whose only “war” is against the poverty they flee from.

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Mental Health Break

Why we are truly blessed to live in New Zealand

PHOTO-Whaleoil

We live in paradise in New Zealand. We live in a country where anyone no matter what their skin colour, religion or income is can take their family to the beach the lake, the river or the bush to enjoy our beautiful natural environment. The problems that we do have need to be put into perspective by looking at Maslow’s hierarchy of needs.

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Map of the Day

Olivia Pierson on Trump’s address to the UN

It will have fallen on deaf ears at the UN, but Trump told them the unvarnished truth anyway.

President Trump stated to the delegates of our world’s political leaders:

“The success of the United Nations depends upon the independent strength of its members. To overcome the perils of the present, and to achieve the promise of the future, we must begin with the wisdom of the past. Our success depends on a coalition of strong and independent nations that embrace their sovereignty, to promote security, prosperity, and peace, for themselves and for the world. We do not expect diverse countries to share the same cultures, traditions, or even systems of government, but we do expect all nations to uphold these two core sovereign duties, to respect the interests of their own people and the rights of every other sovereign nation.”

“To respect the interests of their own people and the rights of every other sovereign nation.” Are these not the core tenets of what was originally called the League of Nations which eventually was reborn into the United Nations?

They are.  But like anything political and anything that grows from it, corruption of the original aims eventually turns the organisation against the very people it is trying to serve.  The European Union would be another example of this.    Read more »

Maori Party: Locking more criminals up won’t solve anything. Whaleoil: Oh yes it will

A group of Māori and Pacific community leaders and service providers met in Panmure on Wednesday, 13th September, 2017. At this fono they agreed that something radical had to be done to overhaul our Justice system in Aotearoa. A system that incarcerates Māori at alarmingly higher rates compared to others. Over 60% of the prison population are Polynesians. Yet Māori only make up around 15% and Pacific 7% of the general population. He believes that the Justice system is broken and unfairly targets Māori and Pacific.

Manase believes he has a proven model that aligns with the social investment approach that could change the system. Manase says, “It’s very clear that neither National nor Labour know what they are doing in this area. They have no new ideas on how to solve it. Both think building more prisons and running more programmes in the prisons is the answer. This is not the answer.

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Jacinda v Bill – leadership v management, or fantasies v boredom?

Dr Suze Wilson writes

In the business world, it’s become almost mandatory for those staking out a claim as a mover and shaker to position themselves as not ‘just a manager’ but, more potently, as ‘a leader’. As part of this shift, ‘leaders’ are now expected to develop bold, imaginative visions for the organisation’s future that spark up employee enthusiasm and result in transformational change.

Being a leader is now tied to expectations of rising above the mundane, detailed, routine matters of daily organisational policies and work processes and to instead focus on the long-term, strategic issues and challenges facing the organisation. Leadership is also taken to indicate great interpersonal skills (often called EQ), such as the ability to contend with a multitude of stakeholders, sense what is unspoken, but which needs surfacing, and to relate easily to all different kinds of people.

Being a ‘manager’, in contrast, has come to imply a rather more stolid approach, one which is good at detailed planning and fine tuning what’s already in place. ‘Managers’ are thought to be less equipped to win over ‘hearts and minds’ in the way that leaders can. ‘Managers’, then – at least according to this way of thinking – lack vision and strategic nous, lack boldness, can’t imagine, much less deliver, major change and aren’t that great at building relationships which get the best out of people. While ‘leaders’ have a vision for a dramatically better world and can connect in a heartfelt manner to gain support for such efforts, ‘managers’ are rationalists who appeal to cold, hard logic and facts.

How does this reflect on Jacinda and Bill then?   Read more »