Alastair Scott

No double dipping from Ron Mark

Good on Ron Mark, he has resigned as Carterton’s mayor so he won’t be a double dipper.

It does cause a by-election but that is the price of electing someone who won;t double dip.

Ron Mark is to step down as Carterton mayor today.

Having been returned to Parliament on Saturday on the New Zealand First Party list, Mark told Wairarapa News yesterday he would resign as mayor.

He was expected to tender his resignation at this morning’s full council meeting. Doing so will force a by-election with the vacant mayoral position going to a district-wide postal vote. ? Read more »

Does Alastair Scott Actually know what his electorate boundaries are?

Otane

National?s Wairarapa candidate, Alastair Scott, has had to defend himself against accusations he doesn?t live in his electorate so can’t vote for himself.

Mr Scott confirmed during a radio election programme featuring himself and Labour candidate Kieran McAnulty that he is enrolled in Wellington Central, his primary residence being in Kelburn where he lives in a rented home with his partner Robyn Noble-Campbell and three of the blended family’s six children.

So he will be casting his party vote for National and his electorate vote for Paul Foster-Bell, the National Party’s choice to try to unseat Labour’s Grant Robertson.

Read more »

Socialist Ratbags running for National in Wairarapa & Tukituki

Certain National candidates disgust me. People who believe in corporate welfare or subsidies are the top of the list, as they are basically socialists dressed in blue.

socialist ratbags Read more »

A good old fashioned donnybrook in Wairarapa

Wairarapa is shaping up to be a real stoush with Labour’s bookie candidate having a pissing contest with National’s winemaker candidate over who is the most dedicated to the local cause.

I’m not sure how a bookie can claim anything other than an ability to perpetrate misery (using Labour’s logic) on the locals through the promotion of addictive gambling practices…but then again the National candidate sells booze for a living.

A war of words has broken out between Wairarapa’s National and Labour election candidates over who is most committed to the electorate.

Labour’s candidate, Kieran McAnulty, said yesterday he would not seek a position on his party’s list because he was determined to get into Parliament by demonstrating his dedication to the electorate, which included Waipawa, Waipukurau and Dannevirke.

His National Party opponent, Alastair Scott, hit back, saying Mr McAnulty was simply scared he would not achieve a high ranking on the Labour Party list.

Mr McAnulty said he believed he was the only Labour candidate not seeking a list position.

His announcement is part of an ongoing stoush between the Masterton-based pair over which has shown more commitment to the electorate. Read more »

Professionalism in Selection Campaigns

The standards are improving for all those running for National selection, even though the National Party attempted to ban professionalism.

Just like the boneheads in the New Zealand Rugby Union they have tried to maintain amateurism in selection, mainly so the buggers muddle can prevent their diminishing influence from diminishing any further.

Fortunately candidates have ignored this rule and have been using professional graphic designers, printers, web site developers and speech coaches to improve their prospects at selection.

In Wairarapa Alastair Scott has a selection campaign web site.? Read more »

National Selection Update, Ctd

Readers should remember this blog does not take sides in selections and always encourages people willing to run to have a crack. The only time it will take sides is to highlight unethical or immoral campaigns by dodgy candidates who think they can rig a selection.

Waikato: – ?Lindsay Tisch has stared down the party so far and will run another term. He was told he should spend more time with his family but his family are better at kicking doors down and shaking the shit out of people so when they told him to run again he thought he had better listen to his family.

Napier: – Some poor sap is going to get badly beaten by Labour?s Stu Nash. Nash has the earliest campaign hoardings in living memory.

photo Read more »

National Party Selections Roundup

Rimutaka

Congratulations to Jonathan Fletcher who won the selection?for Rimutaka, and commiserations to Alastair Scott who has a?very good reputation but needs to retain campaign?professionals if he is to win a nomination. A number of?delegates have told the tip line that Jonathan won because?he worked the room very well and spoke better than Alastair.

Coromandel

Nominations have closed. Megan Campbell, a former parliamentary staffer and active party office holder in the CNI Region, appears to have the inside running?against local girl made good Heather Tanner. Megan has spent some considerable time in the?electorate?working hard with the locals doing the basics of gaining a nomination well. A detailed?post on this race will follow soon. The one uncomfortable?fact facing both ladies is there is a high profile party?figure rumoured to be in the race. There are a couple of other names in the race but they aren’t likely to set the delegates interest alight.

Northland

A tighter than expected race, with long serving National?Party salwart and current board member Grant McCullum not?dominating as expected. Word from Northland, where there?will be a massive number of delegates (1 delegate per 15?members) is that Grant is getting out worked by several?other candidates including Mike Sabin and Mark Tan, with?others also coming across as more personable and less?entitled to the seat vacated by John Carter, one of the most
loved local MPs in New Zealand history.

North Shore

Maggie Barry is NZ's favourite grandmaThe party is frantically casting about for high quality?candidates with Paul Goldsmith, Ewen McQueen, Maggie Barry and Matt Kemp putting their names forward for a safe blue seat. Word is?that none are finding much favour with the party at?large. Matt is apparently a tax manager at Fonterra meaning?he might be useful at working out how to close loopholes for rural tax dodgers, and he could be a good bet as a long term MP?that will last until National is next in government. Unfortunately for Kemp he has annoyed a large faction that supported Steven Joyce ascending the North Shore throne. Ewen McQueen is the former (and last) leader of Christian Heritage, a position he took up after Graham Capill went to jail for fiddling with kids. Paul Goldsmith has all the personal charisma of a parking meter and the charm of a parking warden.

Unfortunately it is hard to imagine Maggie making it through?without proper advisors, and while she has a lot to offer, her status as New Zealand’s favourite grandmother means she?is unlikely to last until the next National government,?meaning a career on the back benches or in opposition.

Failed Palmerston North candidate Karen Rolleston, who is an?impressive speaker, well presented and works a room well may?be running which would provide another option, and she has?the advantage of having run a business in the electorate.?Unfortunately her unwise run in Palmerston North means her?reputation for making good strategic decisions has been?compromised.

Other names may come forward as this is a very safe blue?seat but an outsider without a strong campaign team will?likely miss out as locals select one of their own.

Wellington Central

Royalist, diplomat and protocol expert and man who has a?passing resemblance to Bomber Bradbury, Paul Foster-Bell, is?the only name currently in the hat for Wellington Central?though there is some talk that Alastair Scott might run.?Either way, this blog picks future Labour Leader Grant?Robertson will buck the projected swing to National and?improve his majority as only good things are said about him.

Rodney

The tipline has been quiet for a few weeks after Peter?Goodfellow took the sensible and principled decision to?suspend the process and start it again with new delegates so?there can be no suggestion of rigging. Murmurings of more?skullduggery, malicious rumours and general partisan?nastiness have come through in recent days as the process?hots up again. iPredict should run stocks on whether or not a defamation case results out of this race such is the vile-ness of the rumours.

Brent Robinson has some strong backing on?iPredict though this has tailed off in the last day or so?This support has been taken from former regional chair and?long time Whaleoil friend Scott Simpson, but there does not?appear to be any strong logic behind it. Frankly I can’t believe the cheek of Brent Robinson even staying in the race. This blog still maintains a “anyone but Brent” stance. That stance may change if anymore skullduggery is detected in Rodney.

Epsom

The race to take a dive to keep Rodney Hide and ACT in the house?has not really generated any interest yet although being?Auckland and full of self-interested factional party?warriors it is likely there is some skullduggery going to?come through at some stage. Disappointingly there are no?elderly matrons with blue rinses left in Epsom, but even so?there are enough members with access to blogs and email to ensure anyone trying anything?silly in Epsom is likely to get outed quicker than those in?Rodney.

Word is that even if voters are told to hold their nose and?vote for Rodney Hide they are likely to ignore it, so there is a?reasonable chance that whoever wins the nomination for one?of the bluest seats in the country will end up MP for life or?until they get caught with their pants down like the former?National MP from the area.

There are rumours around that Tim Groser will be foisted upon the electorate, something he neither wants, nor the locals want. Having Epsom erupt in anger after?the?Rodney?electorate?selection debacle wouldn’t be helpful PR-wise for the party.

This could get messy unless the party shows some careful management of the process, something that sadly is severely lacking across the Northern Region which has become something of a buggers muddle in recent years.

National party selections – Rimutaka

As is now expected from selections in the Lower North Island?there is no skulduggery going on, which makes this blog?question the National Party in Auckland.

Going back to normal practice, this blog will not be?endorsing any candidate as the delegates can be relied on to?select the right person for the seat and to beat Chris?Hipkins who?is very vulnerable. Why Andrew Little did not run in Rimutaka in 2008 is incomprehensible, and probably shows he?does not have the ruthlessness to make it to Labour Leader.

This will be compounded by his failure to fundraise leaving?Labour broke in the run up to the election.

The candidates seeking selection are Alastair Scott and?Jonathan Fletcher. Alastair did not end up?challenging?sitting MP John Hayes in Wairarapa.

Jonathan Fletcher

Very personable, capable guy who will do well on the?campaign trail if selected.

Pros

  • Very good with people
  • Understands social media
  • Good public speaker

Cons

  • A little young and?hasn’t?build a strong career yet
  • Maybe not the profile in the electorate that could help?win it

Alastair Scott

Proven track record internationally in finance, working in?NZ, UK and Japan. Owns a massive winery north of Masterton.

Pros

  • very successful overseas in a very tough market
  • could help National’s financial team if he makes it into?caucus

Cons

  • Not the most natural at pressing the flesh
  • Not the strongest public speaker
  • Not the most connected person to the Rimutaka electorate
  • Made a poor decision to talk up challenging a sitting MP?rather than ambushing him at the last minute

Anyone from National has a good chance of winning just based?on the current poll numbers. This was a seat with a margin?of 753 in 2008, and the campaign for National was messed up?by an interfering, unpleasant harridan of a regional chair?who could well have cost National the seat. Hopefully she?will be in purgatory rather than on the campaign team in?2011.

As always candidates are welcome to send materials through?which will be published unedited. Delegates or interested?parties should email tipline[at]whaleoil.co.nz with?information.

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