Brett Hudson

I wonder how many of these guys Bill promised a ministerial portfolio for their public endorsement

A whole bunch of MPs declared earlier today for Bill English. This ultimately led to Judith Collins jacking in the race. But, at least one of them at least was promised a ministerial portfolio if he did so…that will come at the expense of Jonathan Coleman who will get stabbed first for daring to interrupt his coronation.

Judith Collins is likely to get stabbed too because Bill English has such a deep and abiding vindictive streak.

Bill English’s bid for Prime Minister continues to build momentum as more MPs declare their support for him today.

Twenty-one MPs have now committed to backing English in a vote on Monday, while none have yet publicly backed the other contenders Jonathan Coleman and Judith Collins.

To get a majority within the National caucus a candidate will need 30 votes.

The growing level of support for English could put pressure on Coleman and Collins to withdraw from the race.

National’s Jami-Lee Ross, Jonathan Young, Todd Muller, Chris Bishop and Brett Hudson are the latest to say they will back English. ? Read more »

Why is Glenda Hughes involving herself in selections?

The tipline has been running hot since we outed National Party Board Member Glenda Hughes as being the person behind the challenge of Clutha-Southland MP Todd Barclay. Hughes is Wellington based, and the National Party membership have a long-standing hatred of outsiders meddling in their selections.

What is worse than meddling in selections outside your own region is meddling in selections in your own region and losing. ? Read more »

Hooton on Labour’s skulduggery in Te Tai Tokerau

Matthew Hooton uses his NBR column to explain about David Cunliffe’s skullduggery in Te Tai Tokerau.

Less widely reported was Mr?Key?s reference to the Maori Party. Like National voters in Epsom and Ohariu, the prime minister told those in the Maori electorates to back his support parties? candidates.

This is a?bit cheeky: National doesn?t run candidates in the Maori electorates because, theoretically, its policy is to abolish them (although it?s extremely doubtful Mr Key personally agrees, given?his commitment to national reconciliation).

That?s why Mr Key?s nod to the Maori Party is so important. Under MMP, this election remains too close to call. For National to have a chance?of a third term, Mr Key may well need Maori Party co-leader Te Ururoa Flavell to retain Waiariki. Even more important is the result in Hone Harawira?s Te Tai Tokerau electorate, which spans Cape?Reinga to West Auckland.

Most commentators assume Mr Harawira is completely safe, especially now he has scored Kim Dotcom?s dosh. But that reveals they haven?t looked at the data very?carefully.

Three years ago, Mr Harawira only sneaked back into parliament, beating Labour?s Kelvin Davis by a mere 1165 votes, 6% of those cast. Labour won the party vote easily, by 10%. For?his part, Mr Harawira?s majority was well less than National?s party vote and also NZ First?s (see table below). Obviously, many National and NZ First voters backed the Maori?Party?s candidate, while Green voters backed Mr Harawira.

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This time, the Maori Party has Te Hira Paenga as its candidate. He would make an excellent MP. A father of five, he has?post-graduate qualifications and is assistant principal at Hato Petera College. Whatever: he should fall on his taiaha.? Read more »

List spots signal potential deals

Claire Trevett observes that National’s list spots reveal the intention behind National’s potential deals.

National has sent a clear signal it will do a deal in the Ohariu and Epsom electorates by ranking its candidates in those electorates in high list places.

The highest ranked non-MP is Brett Hudson, National’s new candidate in Ohariu. Ohariu is currently held by United Future leader Peter Dunne, one of the National Government’s support partners.

Prime Minister John Key is expected to announce next week whether he will guide National voters in Ohariu and Epsom to give their electorate votes to Mr Dunne and Act’s David Seymour in those electorates to try to ensure National has support partner options.

Mr Hudson is the only non-MP who is ranked above some sitting MPs, at 39th place on the list and on current polling is a certainty to get into Parliament.

Epsom candidate Paul Goldsmith is ranked at 30 – nine slots above his 2011 ranking.

Mr Key is also expected to decide whether to cut a similar deal in East Coast Bays.

Read more »

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