Climate Change

12 out of 12 ain’t bad …

It is a constant source of wonder that climate doomsday scenario after climate doomsday scenario fails to come true and yet the faithful continue to believe and the media continue to parrot climate doomsday scenarios. The GWPF has put together a list of the top 12 debunked climate scares of 2018 for us. Many of these have already been covered by articles here on Whaleoil but it is nice to be reminded of them. The Stuff and Nonsense editorial team would no doubt be very surprised to find that the science is not as settled as they think. Quote.

January 2018:  Worst-case global warming scenarios not credible: Study

PARIS (AFP) – Earth’s surface will almost certainly not warm up four or five degrees Celsius by 2100, according to a study released Wednesday (Jan 17) which, if correct, voids worst-case UN climate change predictions.

A revised calculation of how greenhouse gases drive up the planet’s temperature reduces the range of possible end-of-century outcomes by more than half, researchers said in the report, published in the journal Nature.

February:  ‘Sinking’ Pacific nation Tuvalu is actually getting bigger, new research reveals

The Pacific nation of Tuvalu — long seen as a prime candidate to disappear as climate change forces up sea levels — is actually growing in size, new research shows.

A University of Auckland study examined changes in the geography of Tuvalu’s nine atolls and 101 reef islands between 1971 and 2014, using aerial photographs and satellite imagery.

It found eight of the atolls and almost three-quarters of the islands grew during the study period, lifting Tuvalu’s total land area by 2.9 percent, even though sea levels in the country rose at twice the global average.

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Truth is the first casualty of global warming

Image:OMICS International

As we have discovered recently in New Zealand with Stuff and Nonsense the title of this post from Bjørn Lomborg is so very accurate. Truth is the First Casualty of Global Warming. quote.

The latest global climate summit in Poland has generated familiar predictions of doom and disaster from environmental activists. Climate change seems to freeze our capacity for critical thinking: we are too eager to believe the problem is far worse than science shows, and – conversely – that our solutions are far easier than reality dictates.

Consider weather events: it is second nature now to link these to climate change. Whenever a flood hits, the media blames global warming and warns that floods are increasing. But the most authoritative conclusion by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is that it is not even clear whether floods have increased or decreased globally over the past century.

Both European forest fires and US hurricanes are blamed on global warming. But, despite getting more news attention than normal, forest fires in Europe 2018 have affected less than half the average area burned; in Europe’s southern countries, which contain 90% of the affected forest, the burned area has halved over 35 years. On hurricanes, IPCC scientists say there have been “no significant observed trends” globally over the past century. The frequency of all US land-falling hurricanes has actually been declining since 1900, as has that of major US hurricanes.

The truth about climate change is nuanced: it is real, and in the long term it will be a problem, but its impact is less than we might believe. According to the IPCC’s last major report, unrestrained climate change would result in an average reduction in income of about 0.2-2% by the 2070s. That is equivalent to the impact of a single economic recession over the next half-century.

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Good grief, now we have ‘Climate grief’

Image:OMICS International

NBCNews reports on the latest ‘first-world problem’ affecting the USA. It is great news for the army of psychiatrists and psychologists that keep American functioning. Also great news for Big Pharma as the populace can just keep on taking the tablets. Quote.

When the U.N. released its latest climate report in October, it warned that without “unprecedented” action, catastrophic conditions could arrive by 2040.

For Amy Jordan, 40, of Salt Lake City, a mother of three teenage children, the report caused a “crisis.”

“The emotional reaction of my kids was severe,” she told NBC News.

“There was a lot of crying. They told me, ‘We know what’s coming, and it’s going to be really rough.’ “

She struggled too, because there wasn’t much she could do for them. “I want to have hope, but the reports are showing that this isn’t going to stop, so all we can do is cope,” she said. End quote.

Amy, you could tell them the truth; that the world is not going to hell on a handcart. You could reassure them by telling them that not a single climate doomsday prediction has yet come true in the last 50 years. Quote.

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Interesting things pop up online

Who knew that in the Bay of Plenty there was someone who was involved in climate change well before we all heard about it?

John Maunder blogs on weather and climate-related matters for Sunlive and has written about a meeting that took place three years before the IPCC was formed.  Quote.

Among the many climate science meetings I have attended, the most significant, at least in term of climate change is concerned, is my involvement in the UN sponsored International Conference held in the beautiful town Villach, in Austria in October 1985.

One hundred experts from 30 countries attended the meeting (in contrast to ten to twenty thousand who now attend such meetings), [0ver 30,000 at COP24 this month] and I was privileged to be the only New Zealander invited. We were all there as experts – and not representing our respective organisations – in various fields of science, endeavouring to do the best we could in looking at the complexities of climate science.
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Meet the people who decide

Back : L-R: Hank Schouten, Tiumalu Peter Fa’afiu, Tim Watkin, Chris Darlow, John Roughan
Middle – L-R: Sir John Hansen (Chairman), Mary Major, Jo Cribb, Marie Shroff
Front L-R: Liz Brown, Christina Tay, Jenny Farrell.
Note – John Roughan has now retired from the Media Council and Craig Cooper has joined the Council.  End quote.

The NZMC website includes this preamble: Quote.

The main objective […] is to provide the public with an independent forum for resolving complaints involving the newspapers, magazines and the websites of such publications and other digital media. The Council is also concerned with promoting media freedom and maintaining the press in accordance with the highest professional standards. […]

There is no more important principle in a democracy than freedom of expression. Freedom of expression and freedom of the media are inextricably bound. The print media is jealous in guarding freedom of expression, not just for publishers’ sake but, more importantly, in the public interest. In dealing with complaints, the Council will give primary consideration to freedom of expression and the public interest. End quote.

It is this self-appointed, self-regulatory body that decides whether to act on any complaint made about bias, accuracy, fairness, balance, etc and it was on the previous decisions by this body that Stuff and Nonsense editor Paul Crewdson relied for his stance on the series Quick save the planet.

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Knock me down with a feather; Herald prints a climate retraction

Sort of.

On the 2nd of November, the NZ Herald published the same scare story that all major media outlets were covering. In fact, they got it from the lefty Washington Post.

The scare was based on a ‘peer reviewed’ paper published in Nature, no doubt rushed out in time to bolster COP24.

An independent scientist (mathematician and physicist) took a few minutes to read the introduction to the paper and immediately sensed that there was something wrong.  He published his findings and sent them to the Nature paper’s authors.

They have looked at the criticism, re-examined their numbers and have agreed that their numbers do not really support their conclusions.

To their credit, the authors have attempted to get media outlets to update the story and, to their credit, the NZ Herald has done just that, again thanks to copying the Washington Post. (Nothing so far from Stuff and Nonsense) Read more »

They don’t give a STUFF about facts and balance

He is not really Hitler of course ( we apologise for the left-wing style label) but you get the joke, don’t you Stuff?

STUFF – Stifles Truth Using False Fables

Following on from the excellent article about Stuff not being a free speech site any longer (if it ever was) it is appropriate to have a look at their stance.

The Stuff article says: Quote.

This project accepts a statement that shouldn’t be controversial but somehow still is: climate change is real and caused by human activity. End quote.

Stuff editor, Patrick Crewdson said. Quote.

Our position on the points you’ve raised is simple:

1. We accept the overwhelming scientific consensus – as represented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – that climate change is real and caused by human activity. In that light, providing ‘balance’ from denialists is not a poor service to our audience – it is actively dangerous. This is not a true debate with two equivalent sides, where the views of the scientific consensus and denialists are of equal weight. end quote.

A quick look at the IPCC Charter document in Annex 7, “PRINCIPLES GOVERNING IPCC WORK” shows that the IPCC is specifically tasked with looking at human-induced climate change. Quote.

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Now neither side trusts the climate ‘scientists’

The obligatory picture of harmless water vapour to illustrate a Climate Change story
Business Insider

The extreme far left newspaper, The Guardian reports: Quote.

Warnings about the dangers of global warming are being watered down in the final version of a key climate report for a major international meeting next month, according to reviewers who have studied earlier versions of the report and its summary.
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Like all frauds, it is based upon lies

There are many who read this blog who have known for years that honesty and climate ‘science’ are not great bed-mates, in fact, they are hardly ever seen in the same building, let alone the same room.

But little did we know how bad the lies and deception really were.

A new study that has taken a diligent researcher more months of his life than he would probably want to count has recently been published.

Australian researcher John McLean has just released the first ever audit of the world’s most important temperature data set and has found it to be so riddled with errors that it is effectively useless.  James Delingpole rips into it. Quote.

HadCRUT4 is the primary dataset used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to make its dramatic claims about “man-made global warming”, to justify its demands for trillions of dollars to be spent on “combating climate change” and as the basis for the Paris Climate Accord.

But according to a groundbreaking analysis by Australian researcher John McLean it’s far too sloppy to be taken seriously even by climate scientists, let alone a body as influential as the IPCC or by the governments of the world.

It’s very careless and amateur,” he says. “About the standard of a first-year university student.”

Among the many errors found by McLean were:
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Shaw will be happy when we are all miserable

Climate Change Minister James Shaw says that he will be happy if  the rest of us are “equally unhappy” with the final state of the Zero Carbon Bill.  That is so comforting to know.

Newshub reports: Quote.

More than 15,000 submissions were made on the proposed Bill. More than 90 percent [mostly from Greenpeace] said they want a target of net zero emissions across all greenhouse gases by 2050.

“The results that we’re seeing through this consultation are broadly consistent with the messages we’re getting from public opinion polling,” the Green Party co-leader told Newshub Nation on Saturday.

He said there were responses from every industrial business sector and lots of environmental organisations, but the vast majority came from individuals. End of quote.

I realise that politicians are not known for their honesty so that is probably why Shaw did not clarify that last statement with “on identical boilerplate submissions provided by Greenpeace and Generation Zero.” Quote.

“While there’s a very clear steer that’s coming through from these submissions, there are some quite strong voices in there with concerns about the speed or the scale of the transition, or how it’s going to affect particular industries, and you have to pay attention to those voices as well otherwise you just don’t have a sustainable solution.” End of quote.

Well, I have some breaking news for you James, zero carbon is NOT a sustainable solution. It is a pie-in-the-sky nonsense slogan. Quote.

The Bill won’t be a partisan push. After all, as Mr Shaw points out, it was [to their eternal shame] a National-led Government that signed New Zealand up to the Paris Agreement, which commits New Zealand to reducing our greenhouse gas emissions to 30 percent below 2005 levels by 2050.

“We are talking through the detail of the targets between the Government and the Opposition as we negotiate the final form of the Bill,” said Mr Shaw. End of quote.

That is what is so disheartening about this whole deal. Muller (National’s climate change spokesman) and Bridges et al completely buy into this carbon is evil nonsense.  Quote.

“I have a view, but there are options that are in front of us and we are talking through the detail of how we do that. I think the thing that people are going to have to realise is that it’s going to involve some compromise from everyone. No one is going to get everything that they want as a result of this process… As long as everyone’s equally unhappy, we have a chance of getting this over the line.”

But Greenpeace NZ executive director Russel Norman disagrees with this approach. End of quote.

Russel is unhappy, there’s a surprise. Quote.

“Do you really want climate policy in New Zealand to be hostage to the backbenches of the National Party? […] End of quote.

Huh?  National is onboard, they want a cross-party solution. I can’t see any hostage takers in their ranks. Quote.

[Climate change] is too important to water down to some kind of commission that has no powers, doesn’t even affect all gases.”

But Mr Shaw says while they may not end up with a “perfect” Bill, it’s more important to establish clear targets, a pathway for reaching them and set up the independent Climate Change Commission.

“If you get those things in place, then you’ll see a huge signal sent into the economy about the scale of change, and things will start to unlock and move very quickly.” […] End of quote.

I think ‘unravel’ would be a better word than ‘unlock’ in that sentence. Quote.

No date has been set for the Bill’s introduction to Parliament.

“In my view it’s more important to get it right, than it is to worry about a few weeks here or there.” End of quote.

But it may not be “perfect”.