climate science

The curious case of the reef that didn’t die

2017: Can no longer be saved.

The GWPF reprints an article from the paywalled The Australian where Peter Ridd writes about the Great Barrier Reef. Peter Ridd used to be a physicist at James Cook University?s marine geophysical laboratory until he was fired this year for not toeing the climate scare line. Quote.

2018: Oops, no, as you were, nature is doing what nature does.

This unreliability of the science is now a widely accepted scandal in many other areas of study and it has a name: the replication crisis. When checks are made to replicate or confirm scientific results, it is regularly found that about half have flaws.

Scientists from James Cook University have just published a paper on the bleaching and death of corals on the Great Barrier Reef and were surprised that the death rate was less than they expected, because of the adaptability of corals to changing temperatures. End quote.

Golly gosh, who’d a thunk it? Nature can cope with natural variations in temperature. Quote.

It appears as though they exaggerated their original claims and are quietly backtracking. End quote.

Noooo! Climate scientists exaggerating claims? Never! Quote.

To misquote Oscar Wilde, to exaggerate once is a misfortune, to do it twice looks careless, but to do it repeatedly looks like unforgivable systemic unreliability by some of our major science organisations.

The very rapid adaptation of corals to high temperatures is a well-known phenomenon; besides, if you heat corals in a given year, they tend to be less susceptible in the future to overheating. This is why corals are one of the least likely species to be affected by climate change, irrespective of whether you believe the climate is changing by natural fluctuations or because of human influence.

Corals have a unique way of dealing with changing temperature, by changing the microscopic plants that live inside them. These microscopic plants, called zooxanthellae, give the coral energy from the sun through photosynthesis in exchange for a comfortable home inside the coral. When the water gets hot, these little plants effectively become poisonous to the coral and the coral throws them out, which turns the coral white ? that is, it bleaches.

But most of the time, the coral will recover from the bleaching. And here?s the trick: the corals take in new zooxanthellae, that floats around in the water quite naturally, and can select different species that are better suited to hot weather.

Most other organisms have to change their genetic make-up to deal with temperature changes ? something that can take many generations. But corals can do it in a few weeks by just changing the plants that live in them.

They have learned a thing or two in a couple of hundred million years of evolution.

The problem here is that the world has been completely misled about the effects of bleaching by scientists who rarely mention the spectacular regrowth that occurs. For example, the 2016 bleaching event supposedly killed 93 per cent, or half, or 30 per cent of the reef, depending on which headline and scientist you want to believe. […] End quote.

And, presumably 97% of scientists agreed. Quote.

But this is just the tip of the exaggeration iceberg. Some very eminent scientists claim that bleaching never happened before the 1980s and is entirely a man-made phenomenon. This was always a ridiculous proposition.

A recent study of 400-year-old corals has found that bleaching has always occurred and is no more common now than in the past. Scientists have also claimed that there has been a 15 per cent reduction in the growth rate of corals. However, some colleagues and I demonstrated that there were ?serious errors in their work and that, if anything, there has been a slight increase in the coral growth rate over the past 100 years. […]

But the truth will out eventually. The scare stories about the Barrier Reef started in the 1960s, when scientists first started work on it. They have been crying wolf ever since. But the data keeps coming in and, yes, sometimes a great deal of coral dies in a spectacular manner, with accompanying media fanfare. It is like a bushfire on land ? it looks terrible at first, but it quietly and rapidly grows back, ready for the scientists to peddle their story all over again. End quote.

The Australian

We need some Climate skeptics

This excellent article was referred to by Leighton Smith on 1ZB.

A common objection raised against those who do not buy into the group-think climate disaster, global warming, climate change, climate weirding, etc. narrative is, “There are far too many people involved for this to be a giant conspiracy, so it must be true.”

John Hunt, MD sets out logically how this group-think starts and self-perpetuates. Quote.

Climate scientists are not prophets. Those who believe them on faith provide no good service to the pursuit of truth.

Those who blame climate change for every storm or forest fire are silly. Equally silly are those who claim that a particularly cold day proves that climate change is a farce.

Fear of environmental calamity has caused human destruction before, such as when Rachel Carson?s book, Silent Spring, led to the banning of the pesticide DDT. As a result of the ?success? of the environmentalist movement in banning DDT, an estimated 30-50 million people in Africa?mostly children?died from malaria carried by the renewed growth in the mosquito population. Malaria deaths increased from tens of thousands per year pre-ban, to millions per year post-ban. The story was similar in India. These were preventable deaths that resulted from stoked fears.

Now the target is carbon dioxide. We are told that 97% of climate scientists agree with their own scientific consensus. But that?s a misleading statement in an important way. The actual figure refers to ?97% of climate scientists actively publishing in scientific journals.? To understand the relevance of this 97% figure, we need to know: what are the determiners of ?actively publishing?? End of quote.

The 97% figure has been comprehensively debunked a number of times; but it keeps rising, zombie like, from the dead. Quote. Read more »

Climate Change scientists no longer wanted by AgResearch

The Crown research institute has confirmed it will cut the jobs of of 33 scientists and 50 technicians during the next year, as part of a restructuring to cope with a $5 million cut in funding.

Their research in greenhouse gases, animal and forage sciences and on-farm tech support is being scaled back, while 27 new roles are being introduced in food security, Maori agri-business, high value foods and innovative food products.

AgResearch chair Sam Robinson said the changes were in response to a changing demand.

“These areas are reducing because the sector doesn’t see the need for them, as agriculture and the need for science that supports agriculture changes … through time,” he said. “There are areas we are increasing our effort in science in response to the sector’s needs.”

But Federated Farmers president William Rolleston said the agriculture industry was in need of climate research, and that should not be sacrificed.

“We want to see a science sector that’s increasing its output not decreasing it, not necessarily picking particular subjects in a vacuum of information. It’s about the overall picture,” he said. “We know the government wants to diversify the economy, and we actually support that, but we don’t want that to be done at the expense of agriculture.”

Amusingly, the jobs that are being canned are the ones that look into animals farting, and what pasture is better for the environment. ?It is a remarkable turn-around by a Government that still hasn’t, officially at least, given up on trying to battle climate change. Read more »

A newspaper doesn’t know its weather from its climate [UPDATED]

A new climate report has revealed just how extreme last month was in the weather books – not that the rain-soaked residents of Whanganui, Manawatu and Dunedin, or the owners of frozen South Island farms needed any reminding.

A report card issued today by the National Institute of Water and Atmosphere described June as being unsettled on the whole, with storm events affecting different parts of the country.

Along with devastating floods that forced a state of emergency to be declared, temperature gauges in parts of the South Island recorded three of the lowest temperatures ever experienced in New Zealand.

Rainfall was more than the double the June normal in Whanganui, Palmerston North, Central Otago, while Dunedin was drenched in more than three times its normal total for the month.

Instruments set up in the Dunedin suburb of Musselburgh recorded 194ml for the month – 335 per cent of normal – while Dunedin Airport, further out from the city, recorded 158ml. Read more »


Stop the world… scientist to investigate scientist to see if scientist lied about science*

*paraphrased – but essentially correct.

An international panel of scientists will today launch a major inquiry to discover whether official world temperature records have exaggerated the extent of global warming

Hey, someone filled the trough with more money. ?This time to discover how-come the first load of trough money didn’t product accurate results.

The panel, convened by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF), the ?climate sceptic? think-tank led by the former Tory Chancellor Lord Lawson, will focus on thousands of ?adjustments? that have been made to temperature records kept at individual weather stations around the world.

Sceptics have argued that the effect of such adjustments ? made when instruments are replaced or recalibrated, or heat-producing buildings are erected close to weather station sites ? has skewed the records. Read more »