Colmar Brunton

First poll of year sees Nats slump 4 points, thanks Murray

National has slumped 4 points int he latest 1News/Colmar Brunton poll.

This is the first poll since John Key cut and run.

National is at 46 per cent in the first 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll for the 2017 election year, down four points from the November poll.

Labour has climbed two points to 30, while the Greens are steady on 11 per cent, taking the centre left block’s combined vote to 41 percent.

Back in November National was 11 per cent ahead of the Labour-Greens combo.

New Zealand First is up one per cent to 11, and, based on our polling, would hold the balance of power post-election.

ACT is up one to one per cent, as is the Mana Party, which is back in the frame on one.

The Maori Party is steady on one per cent.

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Was this poll bogus too?


The last One News/Colmar Brunton poll appears to be another “bogus” poll for Labour:

There has been a strong showing for National in the last 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton opinion poll of the year, with the party climbing two percentage points in our November Poll to 50 per cent.

The poll, taken in part after the Kaikoura earthquake, also shows Labour making some ground, up two points to 28 per cent.

However its centre left partner the Greens have slipped back to two per cent this poll to 11 per cent. That gives the Labour-Green block 39 per cent in total.

New Zealand First is back one per cent to 10 per cent, while the Maori Party’s support has slipped from two to one per cent. ? Read more »


Is it time to #changetheopposition?


One News has released their latest Colmar Brunton poll. After months of fabricated crisis after crisis this is the result…

It’s a shocker for Labour and Andrew Little is calling the poll “bogus”.

There are fresh worries for Labour following the latest ONE News Colmar Brunton poll.

The party has slipped three points to 26 per cent. That’s the lowest it’s been in the ONE News poll since the last election when it recorded 25 per cent.

National, however, remains in fine form riding high, steady this month at 48 per cent, the same result it picked up on election night in 2014. ?? Read more »

Looking behind the numbers of Colmar Brunton

Colmar Brunton have helpfully provided a look behind the numbers, especially regarding the MOU announcement of the Greens and Labour.

This is not good reading so the one Green party member who reads this blog should look away now.

Following the announcement of the Labour and Green Party Memorandum of Understanding, support for the Labour Party increased significantly, from 26% to 31%, and support for New Zealand First decreased, from 11% to 7%. Support for the Conservative Party also increased, from 0.2% to 1.2%. No other changes are statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. Please note: We have displayed these results to 1 decimal place to aid significance testing.

Screen Shot 2016-06-07 at 8.34.21 PM

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Latest poll shows a NZ First/National government could govern easily


The latest One News/Colmar Brunton Poll is out and the status quo remains.

There are some small margin of error movements but essentially National is still riding high after 8 and a half years in government.

  • National 48% (down from 50)
  • Labour 29% (up from 28)
  • Greens 12% (up from 10)
  • NZ First 9%
  • Maori Party 1%
  • Conservative Party 1%

That Conservative party number will collapse to nothing in coming months when?the?truth start coming out about Colin Craig. ? Read more »


Poll carnage for Labour with latest Colmar Brunton poll


Labour and Andrew Little are in real trouble in?the?latest Colmar Brunton poll.

The popularity of John Key’s government is showing no sign of waning, with support for National climbing in the latest ONE News Colmar Brunton poll.

However it’s a very different story for Labour, with the party and its leader Andrew Little taking a big hit this month.

National has climbed three points to 50 percent – a level it hasn’t been at since August 2014 – while Labour is down a whopping four points to 28 percent.

Crucially, this is the first time Labour has slipped below 30 percent since the election. ? Read more »

One News poll spells ongoing disaster for Little as Winston draws level


Labour has declared crisis after crisis and watched them all get solved. The one thing they have never declared a crisis in is their own party.

One News has the latest bad news for Andrew Little and Labour.

The latest ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll shows Mr Little is down to single figures (eight per cent) with Winston Peters in the preferred prime minister stakes, while John Key remains well ahead.

“I’m not particularly fazed by it, I know what the task is ahead of me and I’m getting on and doing it, meeting with Kiwis,” Mr Little said.

What a retarded thing to say. He should keep on meeting those Kiwis, it is doing a world of good…for National.

The National Party remains steady on 47 per cent, while Labour is down one to 31, and the Green Party is on 12.

New Zealand First is up two to nine per cent. ? Read more »

Another rogue poll shows that Andrew Little has no cut through


It is coming up to BBQ season, the weather is warming and the latest One News/Colmar Brunton poll shows Andrew Little and Laobur’s gamble to use dodgy statistics and bash people with chinky sounding names has well and truly failed.

This month’s ONE News Colmar Brunton poll has National unchanged at 47 per cent, the same amount it attained at the election.

Labour meanwhile has improved on its disastrous election result and now seems to have a firm hold above the 30 per cent mark.

It’s held steady in this month’s poll at 32 per cent. The Greens have slipped a point this month to 12 per cent, New Zealand First is steady on seven, while the Maori Party is up one. ? Read more »


20 years of preferred PM and Labour’s disconnection with reality

Colmar Brunton published via Twitter two charts showing the last 20 years of the Preferred PM statistics:

Source/ Colmar Brunton

Source/ Colmar Brunton

Source/ Colmar Brunton

Source/ Colmar Brunton

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It’s official: the Conservative Party has flatlined


Two of me.

Zero of anyone else. ? ?The latest Colmar Brunton poll failed to find anyone willing to vote Conservative.

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