Cup of tea

Angry Little Andy prefers honesty over pretending to keep the high ground

What do you mean I need a media person?

Labour leader Andrew Little says his party decided to back Winston Peters in the fight for Northland after the first polls came out showing the New Zealand First leader with a commanding lead.

But he expects Mr Peters would have won with or without Labour urging their supporters to “send a message” to the Government ? a thinly veiled endorsement of the 40-year political veteran. Read more »

Public say “no” to Craig’s Cuppa

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Even if John Key would like to accommodate the Conservative Party purely for pragmatic cold hearted Machiavellian reasons, it looks like the electorate will punish him for it.

I believe the Colmar Brunton poll is out tomorrow, and it will be interesting to see how the Conservative Party is polling. ?I mean, if they can’t bring enough MPs in to offset any losses that National may have for being punished over a dirty deal, it is automatically a backward step or at best a zero sum game.

Whichever way this Conservative Party situation is spun, it isn’t looking like Colin Craig’s heading to parliament any time soon.

John Armstrong on ” a bunch of crazed, intolerant fruit-loops”

Apart from throwing Act yet another lifeline, it is also in National’s interests to ensure Peter Dunne maintains his 30-year hold on the Ohariu seat in Wellington.

United Future – Dunne’s party – is highly unlikely to register a party vote which is high enough to qualify for a second MP. In a hung Parliament, however, Dunne’s lone vote could be the difference between National clinging to power and absolute deadlock which could force another election unless an opposition party was willing to abstain on confidence votes and Budget-related measures.

One reason National is willing to help Act and United Future is that neither party poses any threat to National.

Things are more problematic when it comes to the third leg of the electoral accommodation treble – Colin Craig’s Conservative Party.

All election year, John Key has ensured there are several lengths of barge-pole between Craig and National.

Back in January when he flagged the various post-election coalition options available to National, Key referred to “policy differences” with the Conservatives, but that it was likely there would be enough common ground for the two parties to work together in government.

Indeed, that is the case on policy fundamentals like health and education. National could drive a bus through the holes in much of the Conservatives’ policies. There is certainly room for compromise. Craig has also said he will not try to re-litigate issues where Parliament has spoken strongly in favour of a measure, such as gay marriage.

Furthermore, Craig’s party will be doing extremely well to get 4 to 5 per cent of the vote. Its leverage when it comes to pressuring National will be minimal.

That is all fine and dandy. What worries Key is Craig’s and the Conservatives’ public image as a bunch of crazed, intolerant fruit-loops.

A public image that is backed up not just by denying moon landings, but by the Conservative Party’s complete political incompetence. ?Running your own polling company and believing the results would be one way to come to the point of self delusion. ?Taking another party leader to court for defamation would be another. ? Read more »

No cup of tea needed – ACT gifted Epsom

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Brook Sabin reports

After the National Party’s Epsom candidate Paul Goldsmith dodged The Nation’s Epsom debate, he went very quiet.

And Mr Goldsmith admitted that, once again, winning the seat is not his priority. That means he is out to lose and the infamous Epsom cup of tea deal is being done again.

When asked why he was a no-show at the Epsom debate, he answered the National Party was doing the best job it can.

Why only do this in Epsom then? ? Cup of tea deals could be done in other safe National electorates. ? Read more »

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