Democratic Party (United States)

Why the Democrats lost: by pissing people off

Frank Bruni at the New York Times explains how the Democrats screwed up:

We geniuses in the news media spent only the last month telling you how Donald Trump was losing this election. We spent the last year telling you how the Republican Party was unraveling.

And here we are, with the Democrats in tatters. You might want to think twice about our Oscar and Super Bowl predictions.

Despite all the discussion of demographic forces that doomed the G.O.P., it will soon control the presidency as well as both chambers of Congress and two of every three governor?s offices. And that?s not just a function of James Comey, Julian Assange and misogyny. Democrats who believe so are dangerously mistaken.

Other factors conspired in the party?s debacle. One in particular haunts me. From the presidential race on down, Democrats adopted a strategy of inclusiveness that excluded a hefty share of Americans and consigned many to a ?basket of deplorables? who aren?t all deplorable. Some are hurt. Some are confused. ? Read more »

The Blue Wall turns into a Red lake


The map above shows the likely end result of the Electoral College.

It clearly shows the damage that Donald Trump has done to the Democrats. The much vaunted ‘Blue Wall’ has been destroyed and inundated by a Red Lake.

Where the damage occurs is in a couple of years time when in 2018?next Senate election is held. They will have to defend 25 seats to eight for the Republicans. If Trump starts delivering before then the Republican could end up with a super-majority in the Senate. at the very least the Republicans likely to control the Senate until at least 2020 and the House also. ? Read more »

SMH late to cotton on that Kim Dotcom hasn?t been doing nothing

Get used to Orange fatty

Get used to orange fatty

Kim Dotcom is a braggart, he likes to give hints about his “capabilities”.

The problem is his one capability he actually excels at is stuffing food into his gob.

However the SMH has picked up something our readers picked some time ago.

Did Kim Dotcom warn the world?the Democratic Party hacking was coming?

Megaupload founder?Kim Dotcom said in 2015 that he knew of information that was going to create an obstacle for Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential election bid.

Kim had tweeted that he would be Hillary’s “worst nightmare in 2016″. When pressed on the matter in a 2015 interview, he said WikiLeaks’ Julian Assange would in fact prove a bigger thorn in the side of Hillary:?”I’m aware of some of the things that are going to be roadblocks for her.”

Assange?”has access to information”, Kim said,?without elaborating. ? Read more »

You’ll never guess why Hillary Clinton lost West Virginia when she won it in 2008

Hillary Clinton got spanked in West Virginia by Bernie Sanders. but you will never guess why she lost the state she won in 2008.

West Virginia is one of the most conservative states in the country ? so why did its voters support Bernie Sanders, who routinely ranks among the most liberal senators, by a margin of 51 to 36?

The answer has a lot to do with the uniqueness of West Virginia’s political landscape.

After his victory, Sanders said he won West Virginia on the strength of his “anti-establishment” political revolution. Under his interpretation, Sanders’s outsider insurgency has allowed him to scramble the traditional left-right divide and secure the white working class.

Others think this misses a big part of the story. According to the political scientists I interviewed, Sanders may be winning states like West Virginia largely because he’s become an all-purpose vessel for conservative Democrats who think the party has moved too far to their left under Barack Obama.

Read more »

The turnout problem the Democrats have

The Democrats used to be the turn out kings.

This election is proving otherwise with the turn out for Democrats in the primaries so far way below Republicans.

The Washington Post?is tracking the turnout for the presidential primaries and according to their calculations, one million more Republicans than Democrats have turned out to vote in the 2016 primaries.

Starting with Iowa, where “it became very clear that people coming out to vote for Republicans were turning out much more heavily,” the Post has been watching which party is demonstrating its enthusiasm at the voting booth.

On Super Tuesday, that trend continued, for the most part. In the Nevada caucuses, more Democrats came out this year, as they did in the Massachusetts and Vermont primaries. Otherwise, Republican turnout was larger ? often much larger. In fact … 1.1 million more Republicans have voted than Democrats. ? Read more »

Hillary Clinton’s honesty problem

Hillary Clinton got severely spanked in New Hampshire and delivered a bitter concession speech.

But now the knives are out and her claims of being bullet-proof now ring hollow.

The Washington Post talks about her “honesty problem”:

Hillary Clinton has an honesty problem.

That point is driven home hard in the exit poll following Clinton’s 22-point drubbing at the hands of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. More than one in three (34 percent) of all New Hampshire Democratic primary voters said that honesty was the most important trait in their decision on which candidate to support. Of that bloc, Sanders won 92 percent of their votes as compared to just 6?percent for Clinton.

Ninety-two to six. That is absolutely unbelievable ? even given the size of Sanders’s overall victory in the state. And it should be deeply concerning to a Clinton campaign that has been resistant to acknowledging the idea that the ongoing controversy over Clinton’s private email server while at the State Department is a problem for her.

?Clinton’s standard response on questions about her honesty ? or about her long-running polling problems on questions of whether she is honest and trustworthy ? is that it has zero to do with her and how she has acted in and out of office but rather is the result of sustained decades of attack on her by Republicans.”Read behavioral science, read psychology,” Clinton told MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow this week. “Even when all the attacks prove to be unfounded, untrue, it leaves a residue.” ?She added: “There is a concerted effort to try to make partisan advantage by really trying to throw so much at me that even if little splotches of it stick, it will cloud peoples’s judgment of me. That is a burden I carry.” ?? Read more »

The lies of Hillary Clinton keep on coming

Hillary Clinton just keeps on lying, it seems she just can’t help it.

She of course calls it mis-speaking.

Andrew Bolt explains:

Hillary Clinton campaigns for the immigrant vote in Iowa:

?All my grandparents, you know, came over here [to America],? Hillary Clinton claimed, reinforcing her immigration reform bona fides.

Except, of course, it?s another Hillary lie – one so astonishingly obvious that you can only conclude that she lies reflexively and habitually.

Only one of her grandparents was born overseas, although another was the child of immigrants, forcing Clinton?s staff to offer this cringing explanation:

?Her grandparents always spoke about the immigrant experience and, as a result she has always thought of them as immigrants,? a Clinton spokesman told BuzzFeed News. ??

Read more »

Clinton fanbois celebrating way too early

It is true that Hillary Clinton is the favourite to win the Democrat nomination, but could she win the presidency?

Well for a start we don’t know who the Republican candidate would be, and also there maybe a better Democrat nominee come out of the woodwork.

Hillary Clinton is?not a good candidate,?but the Republicans don’t have anyone much good either.

So we are left to Nate Silver for some analysis, and that isn’t promising for the fools lock stepping in behind Hillary.

There?s already plenty of bad punditry regarding the chances of Hillary Clinton ? who officially announced her candidacy on Sunday ? to become the 45th president. You can find Democrats boasting about their ?blue wall? in the Electoral College and how hard this will make it for any Republican to win. Or Republicans warning that the Democratic Party rarely wins three elections in a row.

Most of this analysis is flimsy. So is the commentary about the ups-and-downs in early swing state polls. And when you see some pundit declaring a minor misstep to be a ?game changer,? find someone else to follow on Twitter.

The truth is that a general election win by Clinton ? she?s very likely to become the Democratic nominee ? is roughly a 50/50 proposition.

Read more »

The Taito Principle

The last thing you want is a dodgy opponent to leave.

The longer they hang around, the longer you can beat the opposing party up.

Faced with a sprawling criminal indictment for corruption, and fighting for his political life, Sen. Robert Menendez should be a tempting target for Republicans. But rather than demanding Menendez resign, the GOP has stayed eerily quiet.

Republicans like Gov. Chris Christie say Menendez deserves his day in court. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has been mum. And the Republican National Committee is focused on other targets ? namely Hillary Clinton.

The hands-off approach ? while not a defense of the New Jersey senator ? underscores a private GOP calculation: If Menendez lingers in office with the indictment hanging over his head, the worse it looks for Democrats. ? Read more »