El Niño-Southern Oscillation

The science is settled?

We are told constantly that, with respect to Climate Change, the science is settled.

Yet, every time someone looks at that settled science we find lies, mistakes and obfuscation. The science is far from settled, especially when that science uses manipulated data.

A German professor has confirmed what skeptics from Britain to the US have long suspected: that NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies has largely invented “global warming” by tampering with the raw temperature data records.

Professor Dr. Friedrich Karl Ewert is a retired geologist and data computation expert. He has painstakingly examined and tabulated all NASA GISS’s temperature data series, taken from 1153 stations and going back to 1881. His conclusion: that if you look at the raw data, as opposed to NASA’s revisions, you’ll find that since 1940 the planet has been cooling, not warming.

According to Günter Ederer, the German journalist who has reported on Ewert’s findings:

From the publicly available data, Ewert made an unbelievable discovery: Between the years 2010 and 2012 the data measured since 1881 were altered so that they showed a significant warming, especially after 1950. […] A comparison of the data from 2010 with the data of 2012 shows that NASA-GISS had altered its own datasets so that especially after WWII a clear warming appears – although it never existed.   Read more »

Killing truth by degrees

The last two days in Auckland have been very warm days. There were a few wisecracks around it being global warming. The ‘official’ temperature in Auckland was around 29 degrees. But hang on a minute. It was 31° in Botany and only 28° in Piha. So is 29° an average? No, there is only one recording place. So there were large areas of Auckland that were not 29°. Could 29° be categorised as ‘an average’ for Auckland? We could try but it would not be accurate. We don’t know which areas were 31° and which were 29°. We don’t know how big those areas were. Some places may have been 27°. Some temperatures were recorded at midday others at 3.00pm. Recording temperature is problematic, nigh impossible.

OK, so what if we take one spot and record the temperature every day at exactly the same time wouldn’t that give us a pattern over time?  Yes, but what pattern? Take Botany. Fifty years ago it was open fields. Now it’s all tin roofs, tarseal and concrete. That would distort the pattern.

So let’s take Botany out and use the other recordings around Auckland. Piha might work but Auckland City is also distorted by growing urbanisation. For historical accuracy, using temperature recordings in Auckland is well-nigh useless.

Who cares? Who can ‘feel’ a one-degree change in temperature anyway? Not too many people I guess but a degree difference in global warming land is massive. In the rarefied atmosphere of global warming a tenth of a degree is hugely statistically significant.

Over the last month the climate change enthusiasts have been crowing about 2015 being the hottest year on record. It broke the record by 0.02° F. Wow! One fifth of one tenth of one degree. Did you feel that? Take your shirt off?   Read more »

Now hang on a minute, this doesn’t make sense

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Apparently climate change is to blame for a lake in Bolivia drying up.

Or so a scientist says. What this is, in reality, is another manipulative alarmist article blaming something on climate change that is unsupported by the facts.

Overturned fishing skiffs lie abandoned on the shores of what was Bolivia’s second-largest lake. Beetles dine on bird carcasses and gulls fight for scraps under a glaring sun in what marshes remain.

Lake Poopo was officially declared evaporated last month. Hundreds, if not thousands, of people have lost their livelihoods and gone.

High on Bolivia’s semi-arid Andean plains at 3,700 metres (more than 12,000 feet) and long subject to climatic whims, the shallow saline lake has essentially dried up before only to rebound to twice the area of Los Angeles.

But recovery may no longer be possible, scientists say.

“This is a picture of the future of climate change,” says Dirk Hoffman, a German glaciologist who studies how rising temperatures from the burning of fossil fuels has accelerated glacial melting in Bolivia.

As Andean glaciers disappear so do the sources of Poopo’s water. But other factors are in play in the demise of Bolivia’s second-largest body of water behind Lake Titicaca.

Read more »

Looks like El Nino is coming. Watch the Green Taliban wax lyrical it is global warming

I just want to get this on record, so that every time the Green Taliban and it’s enablers complain about warm dry conditions, I can point back to this and show them they’re still no better than last year’s Luddites.

An El Nino hitting New Zealand this summer is now “extremely likely”, climate scientists say.

The National Institute of Water and Atmosphere (NIWA) today issued its climate outlook for the next three months, reporting that it was “virtually certain” – with a 97 per cent chance – that the ocean-driven El Nino would continue through to October.

Further, it was “extremely likely” – with a likelihood of above 90 per cent – that the El Nino would persist into the summer of 2015/16.

Over the next three months, above-normal pressure was forecast over and to the south of Australia, while below normal pressure was expected well to the northeast of New Zealand.   Read more »

Warmer than usual?

 3 News

NIWA reckons that this winter is going to be warmer than usual:

NIWA is forecasting average to above average temperatures this winter, compiled with cold snaps and normal rainfall.

It says the La Nina event which has dominated the tropical Pacific for several months has faded out.

Really? Check out the related articles:

While NIWA says things are going to be warmer than usual the NZ Herald reports:

Temperatures plummeted to near-record lows for the first week of June, with reports of temperatures as low as minus 11C in inland Canterbury.

I wonder what people in the South Island think about global warming now?