More confident than ever they may be. But they aren’t actually confident that he will. Hooton writes
What my analysis overlooked is that while the [Memorandum of Understanding between Labour and Green] did indeed act as an endorsement by Labour of the Greens, it was also an endorsement by the Greens of Labour. At least since their truce following the genetic-modification wars of the early 2000s, both Labour and the Greens have run strategies of trying to hug the other to death. Events since the MoU suggest the red team may have the stronger chokehold.
That chokehold is only getting tighter, with private polling since Labour’s elevation of 36-year-old urban liberal Jacinda Ardern to the deputy leadership indicating an immediate gain to Labour but at the expense of their Green partners rather than National.
The confidence seems to come from the fact that Labour’s strategy is to bleed the Green vote. And to be honest, it is the only way to get there with Winston’s NZ First. Read more »