Election

Election quote of the day from The Netherlands

?The less highly educated youngsters are – on average – definitely supporting Mr Wilders, so if the youngsters show up massively it will benefit GreenLeft, D66 and certainly PVV.

-Tim de Beer, from Dutch pollster TNS NIPO

That quote is straight out of the Wrongly Wrongson playbook where he derides New Zealanders as “Sheeple” if they don’t vote the way he wants. If what the pollster says is correct then being highly educated is clearly a barrier to common sense. If Wilders’s party does not get in The Netherlands’ downwards trajectory?will be locked down and it will be only a matter of when they become an Islamic state not if. Even if he wins the other parties are giving the big finger to democracy and have publically stated that they will refuse to work with his party. The Netherlands’ future hangs in the balance today.

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Serious Voter fraud revealed in Australia

We revealed on Whaleoil that “extreme left wing, hate speech blogger, ” Martyn Bradbury (or as we like to call him Martyn Martin ) was enrolled to vote twice at the last election. One enrollment was for Martin Bradbury and the other for Martyn Bradbury. For the two enrollments to occur two separate forms had to be filled out and individually mailed in so it cannot be dismissed as someone else’s mistake. We have no evidence that he actually used this ” error ” to vote twice but simply brought to the public’s attention that the potential for voter fraud was there because of the double enrollment.

Bradbury-Whaleoil.co.nz

Bradbury-Whaleoil.co.nz

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Government electoral law change priorities are amusing

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Amy Adams’ electoral law changes priorities are amusing.

Richard Harman reports:

Broadcasting Minister Amy Adams say legislation will be introduced into Parliament next week to make the TV campaign broadcast changes.

The Government will allocate $3.605 million to political parties to buy time on TV.

But that will be all the time they will be allowed to purchase.

They may also spend some of their allocation on on-line advertising though (confusingly) they will also additionally be able to spend their own money on extra on-line advertising.

Only TVNZ was obliged to broadcast the formal opening and closing broadcasts, and Ms Adams appear to have bought their argument that the lower audiences for the broadcasts deprived them of revenue. ? Read more »

Question seven: If ACT, NZ First or National made strong changes to immigration policy that you liked, would that be enough to retain or gain your vote next election?

immigration1

My motivation for creating a survey on immigration was to get an accurate snapshot of what a ?Conservative/ Libertarian voter ?thinks about immigration in New Zealand. I wanted this snap shot ?primarily for David Seymour ?as he commented that the small changes Act had proposed for immigration did not gain any support from this blog and resulted in a lot of negativity from the media.

Winston Peters of course has always been vocal about immigration, I hope this survey gives him some insight on what our real concerns about immigration are. Are we anti-immigration? Or do we think immigration is a good thing?

John Key likes to implement policies that will be popular with voters so he too should find this survey useful.I think he will be surprised at what it shows.

Due to our large audience we easily surveyed over one thousand voters in less than a day. This survey is not of the general population but of a specific conservative/libertarian audience. I gave two yes options and two no options for every ?question.

Here are the results for question seven:?If the Act Party, NZ First or the National Party made strong changes to immigration that you liked would that be a policy popular enough to retain or gain your vote next election?

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Will Fiji’s elections be free & fair?

Mohammed-Saneem

Supervisor of Elections at Fiji Elections Office, Mohammed Saneem Photo/ Cam Slater, Whaleoil Media

I am in Suva at the moment investigating Fiji’s path to democracy.

Today I visited the Fiji Elections Office, their Electoral Commission, and had an in-depth discussion with the Supervisor of Elections,?Mohammed Saneem.

My questions and discussion focused on whether or not Fiji would be having free and fair elections on September 17.

In past elections there have been several incidences of vote tampering, ballot box stacking and in one particular example more votes cast than registered electors in a constituency.

Despite international observers in the past declaring elections free and fair it is obvious to all that Fiji’s past elections have been far from that.

Independence of Fiji Elections Office

The Fiji Elections Office is independent, just like New Zealand’s Electoral Commission. They are charged with overseeing the election and electoral law, which at present is by decree, but it is the law nonetheless.

I spent quite a bit of time understanding their voting processes and there are some quite innovative techniques they are utilising to combat voter fraud and vote rigging.

Voter Registration

The first step has been a comprehensive voter education and registration process that has been running for two years. Registered voters have a voter id card, this is not at all like the Easy Vote card that is so easily rorted in NZ. ?The Fijian voter registration card is a photo id, it also contains biometric data (fingerprints) which require a match of at least 8 points.

The Fijian registered voters carry these cards everywhere. When I asked my cab diver last night, when I arrived in Suva, if he was registered to vote, he reached into his pocket and flourished it with obvious pride. Everyone eligible and registered to vote has one of these and a random sample on the streets shows that everyone without fail carries it. What this means is that only registered voters will be able to vote, and they require the photo and biometric identification in order to vote. This is a significant advancement over our voter registration processes in NZ. I should know as I have just watched my 18 year old son register to vote in NZ and our processes are farcical to say the least compared to what Fiji has initiated. ?? Read more »

People are Stupid, Ctd

At times it’s hard the believe the total absence of limits that stupid people appear to operate under:

A northern Indiana man who had the Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan campaign logo tattooed onto his face “to make politics fun” says it’s time for it to come off.

Eric Hartsburg of Michigan City, says he plans to have the red-and-blue “R” removed from its prominent place next to his right eye.

He says a Republican supporter paid him US$15,000 (NZ$18,312) to get the tattoo and keep it until at least the election was over.

Weeks after President Barack Obama defeated the former Massachusetts governor in the November 6 election, Hartsburg says “now to me it represents not a losing campaign, but a sore losing campaign.”

Hartsburg says he reached out to the Romney campaign about the tattoo, but feels snubbed that no campaign staffer ever contacted him.

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Media say Romney is toast, but is he?

A great piece from the Washington Free Beacon about how the media have already written off Mitt Romney:

The election is over, and Mitt Romney lost. He?s toast; his goose is cooked; put a fork in him he?s done; he?s yesterday?s news. Disagree? That?s too bad. The American media have made up their minds. And on this they are certain: Barack Obama is a lock for reelection. They may not be sure when Romney lost exactly?was it his trip to England, Israel, and Poland? Was it the Clint Eastwood speech at the RNC? Was it Romney?s response to the attacks on our embassies in Benghazi and Cairo? Was it his leaked remarks on government dependency? The exact date doesn?t matter. What matters is that the chorus has spoken. The politburo has decided. A consensus has been reached. Romney will lose, and the only question is by how much. The voters might as well stay at home.

But not so fast. ?It seems that Mitt is closer than the media would like to believe.

Here is where the campaign actually stands.?The Real Clear Politics average of polls?has President Obama in the lead with 48 percent of the vote, and Mitt Romney close behind with 45 percent. That is a tight race, with less than seven weeks before Election Day. The fundamentals, moreover, seem not to have changed much at all, despite hundreds of millions of dollars in advertising. Americans remain disappointed in Obama?s job performance while liking him personally, but recent history and Romney?s personal and political nebulousness make them reluctant to embrace the challenger.

So what is it that has the media painting Obama as the victor? Is it his?likability? His celebrity endorsements? ?Or could it be the journos’ own political bias clouding their vision? ?If the fog lifted for just a moment the journos might just see that if they reported the reality, that voters see it as a closer race, then that will actually make for a much more exciting last few weeks of campaigning.

If only.

Fairfax Poll

The latest Fairfax poll is out and it sees National on the rise again, Labour static and Winston Peters clutching at straws.

National has soared over the teapot tape saga and strengthened its grip on the election in the final days of the campaign.

Today’s Fairfax Media-Research International poll gives National a seemingly unassailable lead of 28 points over Labour, which is headed for a rout on Saturday if today’s result of 26 per cent is repeated.

Phil Goff meanwhile is in la-la land:

“The mood that I’m getting all around the place is that people are moving and that is benefiting Labour and we’ve got an excellent chance of a Labour-led Government from Saturday night.”

When reminded that he has been banking on a boost for Labour throughout the campaign which has never arrived, Mr Goff responded: “Just keep watching.”

Dimpost on The Debate

Danyl McLauchlan is scathing:

John Key took a big risk during last nights Press leader?s debate. (Which was excellent, by the way, you can view it?here.) Key and Goff were more-or-less evenly matched for most of the evening, with Goff arguably coming out ahead. Then the Prime Minister took time to walk the audience through the balance sheet of Labour?s fiscal policies, arguing that there was a fourteen billion dollar shortfall.

This could easily go badly ? the audience gets bored with the accounting talk, the chances of making a mistake while performing calculations on the stage are high, and it meant the PM was talking about the opposition instead of promoting himself and his party. He was offering Goff a platform to showcase Labour?s fiscal policies.

But Goff couldn?t respond. He couldn?t account for the $14 billion shortfall. Instead he prevaricated. He talked about asset sales. He talked about tax evasion. Key continued to press him, and Goff insisted we?d get a spreadsheet ?soon?, which explained everything. Then he spent the final quarter of the debate insisting that he?d already explained where the money was coming from, while Key and the audience simply laughed at him.

It was a humiliating defeat. And totally unnecessary. Three-and-a-half weeks from the election and Labour?s leader can?t produce a credible budget.

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Unfunny Campaign Graffiti

There are some really nasty people out there.

Image 1: Mt Wellington

Image 2:?Cnr of Point England Road and Dalton St. – note the star of David and Swastika.

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